MLB Picks and Predictions for 8/28/2021 - Free MLB Picks
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Free MLB Picks
MLB Games on Saturday, August 28, 2021
We have a full slate of MLB games on Saturday, August 28, 2021, with all 30 teams set to play. Check out our best picks below, as well as the updated betting odds.
Boston Red Sox -160 Cleveland Indians +140 Total: 8.5
Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi has not had success on the road this season. In his last three starts he has allowed 15 runs through 15 innings, and the Red Sox have lost each game. The Indians’ Cal Quantrill has only allowed 20 hits and five runs in his 31 innings this month, accumulating 34 strikeouts in those games. Take the home dogs in this one.
Pick: Cleveland Indians +140
New York Yankees +110 Oakland Athletics -130 Total: 7.5
The Yankees’ Nestor Cortes Jr. has gotten it done since joining the rotation and has allowed just three runs in his last 13 innings. The A’s Frankie Montas has had a similar stretch, going at least five innings, and allowing no more than three runs per game over his last five starts, including two seven inning shutouts. With both offenses hitting under .225 over the last seven days, look for this one to go under.
Pick: Under 7.5
Kansas City Royals +160 Seattle Mariners -190 Total: 7.5
The Mariners’ Tyler Anderson has not allowed more than three runs in each of his first five starts since joining the team. However, their offense has continued to struggle, and they will have their work cut out for them against Royals’ righty Carlos Hernandez; he has allowed one or fewer runs in four of his last five starts. Fade the total.
Pick: Under 7.5
Arizona Diamondbacks +170 Philadelphia Phillies -200 Total: 9
Kyle Gibson is coming off his best performance as a Phillie, going eight innings and allowing just one run against the Padres in San Diego. On the other side of this matchup, the unproved Humberto Mejia will start for Arizona. He did a decent job in his first start against Pittsburgh but will have a tough time working through this experienced Philadelphia lineup. Take Philly at home.
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -200
Cincinnati Reds +105 Miami Marlins -125 Total: 7.5
Miami’s Sandy Alcantara has gone at least seven innings in each of his last three starts, allowing just three runs with 25 strikeouts. The Reds Vladimir Gutierrez has also been on a solid run, going six or more innings in his last five starts, with his only loss being a 2-1 defeat against the Cubs. Look for this to go under, as both offenses are in the bottom third in scoring over the last two weeks.
Pick: Under 7.5
Toronto Blue Jays -160 Detroit Tigers +140 Total: 9
Both teams are averaging just over three runs per game over the last seven days, and rank in the bottom third in average. However, Miami’s staff has had a rough time over that same stretch, with a 5.68 and .275 OBA. Expect Toronto to do enough from the plate to take one on the road.
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -160
Houston Astros -240 Texas Rangers +195 Total: 8
The Astros have led the league in hitting over the last 15 days, with a .282 average and just over five runs per game. They have been exceptionally good against lefties, so they should have a favorable matchup against the Rangers’ Kolby Allard; he has allowed multiple runs in each of his last four starts, with seven home runs compared to just 14 strikeouts. Take the Astros for the hefty price.
Pick: Houston Astros -240
St. Louis Cardinals -160 Pittsburgh Pirates +140 Total: 8
Despite pitching well, the Pirates are 0-4 in Steven Brault’s starts this season, thanks to a total of four runs of support. Those problems will not go away in this one, as the Pirates are averaging under four runs per game with a .223 average over the last week. St. Louis’s Adam Wainwright has owned this matchup, allowing just one run in 23 innings pitched this year. Take the Cardinals on the road.
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -160
Tampa Bay Rays -140 Baltimore Orioles +120 Total: 9
Luis Patino has been mediocre for the Rays this season and was tagged for six hits and four runs in 3.1 innings when these two faced last. John Means has been hit hard in both of his outings against the Rays this season, and Tampa Bay is averaging just under seven runs per game over the last two weeks. Take the over.
Pick: Over 9
Chicago Cubs +260 Chicago White Sox -335 Total: 8
Lance Lynn has been lights out at home for the White Sox, with a 2.14 ERA and 94 strikeouts through 80 innings pitched. On the flip side, Alec Mills has allowed a .298 average with a 5.14 ERA on the road this year, good for a 1-4 record. The Cubs have also cooled off from the plate, hitting a collective .215 over the last week. Take the White Sox by a few.
Pick: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Milwaukee Brewers -150 Minnesota Twins +130 Total: 9.5
Adrian Houser has allowed just one earned run in his last four games for the Brewers. He will be backed by an offense that has scored the third-most runs in the majors over the last 30 days. The Twins’ Charlie Barnes has allowed 17 hits and 11 runs in his last 14.2 innings pitched, and the Twins staff has a collective 6.14 ERA over the last two weeks. Give me the Brewers with good value on the road.
Washington Nationals +175 New York Mets -210 Total: 7.5
Sean Nolan Has not looked good since joining the Nationals rotation, allowing seven runs and 14 hits through seven innings. The Mets’ Marcus Stroman has been one of their more reliable starters, and he has a solid 2.97 ERA at home. Not a convincing pick with both offenses underwhelming but lean toward the Mets here.
Pick: New York Mets -210
San Francisco Giants -130 Atlanta Braves +110 Total: 9
The Braves’ offense has cooled off over the past seven days, averaging just 3.2 runs per game with a .227 average. The Giants Logan Webb has allowed just four runs with 32 strikeouts in his last 25.1 innings pitched. Overall, the Giants’ staff has a miniscule 1.20 ERA during their current five-game winning streak. Take San Francisco on the road.
Pick: San Francisco Giants -130
San Diego Padres -170 Los Angeles Angels +150 Total: 8
The Padres have been in a slump of late, posting a league worst .179 average over the past two weeks. The Angels have not been much better, hitting a collective .228 with four runs per game over the same stretch. Do not expect a lot of scoring in this one.
Pick: Under 8
Colorado Rockies +195 Los Angeles Dodgers -240 Total: 8
The Rockies’ Jon Gray has allowed multiple runs in each of his last fours starts, and Colorado has lost each game. He will be facing off against the Dodgers’ David Price, who has also given up multiple runs in four straight and has not made it through six innings in any start this year. The Rockies have been scoring over five runs per game over the last week, and the Dodgers feel like they are due for a breakout game after their recent slump. Take the over.
Pick: Over 8
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