MLB Picks and Predictions for 5/15/21 - Free MLB Picks

MLB Picks and Predictions for 5/15/21 - Free MLB Picks Photo by Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

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MLB Games on Saturday May 15th, 2021

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With 15 MLB games on Saturday, May 15th, 2021, there are plenty of options for some baseball action. Check out our best picks below, as well as the updated betting odds.

New York Mets Tampa Bay Rays Total:

The Mets have been on a nice run, winning 7 in a row heading into Friday’s action. The Tampa Bay Rays have been struggling from the plate, ranking 28th in the league with a .190 average over the last 7 days. New York’s Joey Lucchesi has been unreliable with a 7.71 ERA but has not allowed a hit against this Rays lineup in 10 career at bats. Against lefties this season, the Rays are hitting just .215 with a .642 OPS.

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Pick: New York Mets

Oakland Athletics +120 Minnesota Twins -130 Total:8.5

The Twins will be back at home after losing four straight on the road. The Twins Jose Berrios pitched well in his one start against the A’s earlier in the season, allowing just one run over 5 innings. However, the bullpen has continued to struggle, ranking 24th with a 5.09 ERA this season. Cole Irvin has been effective with a 3.29 ERA for the A’s this year and has gone at least 6 innings in 4 of his last 5 starts.

Pick: Oakland Athletics +120

Los Angeles Angels -105 Boston Red Sox -105 Total: 9.5

The Red Sox have been on a tear from the plate, ranking 2nd in average and 1st in runs scored this season. They have also averaged 5.8 runs per game over the last two weeks. Los Angeles can also score with the best of them, averaging 4.5 runs per game this season. The Angels Mike Trout leads the majors with a 1.150 OPS this season. With two sub-par pitchers getting the start in this one, expect a lot of runs.

Pick: Over

Chicago Cubs -121 Detroit Tigers +110 Total: 8.5

The Tigers Jose Urena has allowed exactly 2 runs in each of his last 5 starts, but the offense has scored just 2.8 runs per game in those starts. Detroit’s bullpen ranks last in the majors with a 6.63 ERA this season. The Cubs Trevor Williams has limited this Tigers lineup to a .171 career average in 35 at bats. Chicago ranks 6th in the majors with a .341 OPS over the last 2 weeks.

Pick: Chicago Cubs -121

San Francisco Giants -138 Pittsburgh Pirates +127 Total: 7.5

The Pirates Tyler Anderson has gone at least 6 innings in his last three starts, while allowing 2 or less runs in each. The Pirates are 4-1 in his last 5 starts, and he has limited this Giants lineup to a .202 career average. On offense the Pirates have only scored one run in each of their last two games. San Francisco has allowed more than two runs just once in their last 5 games. We shouldn’t see a lot of scoring here.

Pick: Under 7.5

New York Yankees -172 Baltimore Orioles +1.5 Total: 9

The Orioles have struggled at home this season, with a  5-13 record heading into this series. The Yankees have won 4 of 5 before Friday’s game. New York’s Domingo German pitched 7 shutout innings in Baltimore just two weeks ago, and the Orioles rank 25th in runs scored since then. The Yankees rank 4th in the majors with 48 home runs through 37 games. New York takes this one going away.  

Pick: New York Yankees -1.5

Atlanta Braves Milwaukee Brewers Total:

The Braves are 4-1 in Ian Anderson’s last 5 starts, and he is averaging over a strikeout per inning. Milwaukee has struggled, ranking 28th with a .213 team average to start the year. The Brewers Brett Anderson has allowed a lofty .937 OPS against this Braves lineup in his career, and Atlanta has been dangerous this season with a league-best 54 home runs. Back Atlanta here.   

Pick: Atlanta Braves

Kansas City Royals +170 Chicago White Sox -190 Total: 8.5

The White Sox Carlos Rodon is 5-0 in 5 starts with a 0.58 ERA and 0.68 WHIP to start the year. He also tossed 6 scoreless innings at Kansas City in his last start. The Royals have been in a terrible slump, losing 11 straight games. Their starter in this one will be Mike Minor has allowed multiple runs in each of his last 5 starts and gave up 5 runs against the White Sox in his last start. That will not cut it against Rodon, the early favorite for AL Cy Young.

Pick: Chicago White Sox -190

Texas Rangers +162 Houston Astros -177 Total: 8.5

The Astros have been hot from the plate, leading the league with a .282 average and .831 OPS over the last two weeks. The Rangers have also been swinging the bat well, ranking 5th 17 home runs over that span, and the Astros Luis Garcia has given up a home run in each of his last 4 starts. We should see the over hit before the 7th inning stretch.

Pick: 8.5

Washington Nationals Arizona Diamondbacks Total:

Four players from Arizona’s starting lineup will be out for this game, including their best hitter, Asdrubal Cabrera. The Nationals Joe Ross has limited this Diamondbacks roster to just 2 hits in 26 career at bats. Washington has a .308 average and 3 home runs against Arizona starter Luke Weaver. Back Washington on the road.  

Pick: Washington Nationals

St. Louis Cardinals +120 San Diego Padres -130 Total: 7

Chris Paddack will start for the Padres; he has allowed over a hit per inning in his last 5 starts and has given up 2 home runs in just 20 career at bats against this Cardinals lineup. The Cardinals Adam Wainwright has not looked good in two road starts, allowing 7 runs on 12 hits in just 9.2 innings. Over the last 2 weeks the Padres are averaging 4 runs per game and the Cardinals are averaging 4.6. Take the over on a low total.

Pick: Over 7

Cleveland Indians -121 Seattle Mariners +110 Total: 8

Cleveland’s Tristan McKenzie has 34 strikeouts in just 23.2 innings this season, but he has struggled with control, leading to 4 walks in each of his last 4 starts. However, Seattle ranks last in the Majors with a .208 average to start the season, so McKenzie should be able to get away with a few walks. Seattle’s Justus Sheffield has allowed 24 hits and 9 runs over his last 16.1 innings and could be just what a struggling Indian’s lineup needs to get going.

Pick: Cleveland Indians -121


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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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