MLB Picks and Predictions for 5/7/21 - Free MLB Picks
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Free MLB Picks
Friday, May 7th, 2021
It is Friday night in Major League Baseball and we have a full schedule of games with all 30 teams in action. Here are the free betting picks and odds for each MLB game for Friday, May 7th, 2021.
Pittsburgh Pirates +120 Chicago Cubs -140 Total: 7.5
Here we have two starters in the Pirates' Trevor Cahill and the Cubs' Zach Davies that have ERAs over 7.00. For that reason, I price this game at a coin flip at -110 apiece. I think we are getting good value with the Pirates on the road here, and I will lean the Buckos way.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +120
Washington Nationals +160 New York Yankees -185 Total: 9.5
The Yankees are playing a lot better baseball than they were at the start of the season, but that does not mean I want to lay a -185 price with Jameson Taillon and the Yanks in this spot. The Nationals' Patrick Corbin has been struggling all season long, and I think the best play we can make because of that is on the over. I expect both teams to score plenty of runs in a hitter's ballpark like Yankee Stadium.
Pick: Over 9.5 runs
Boston Red Sox -164 Baltimore Orioles +142 Total: 9
The Red Sox did not look sharp in their series against the Tigers this week, despite winning the series overall. I think the Orioles can catch the Sox off guard in this series, at that starts with a strong start by Baltimore's Matt Harvey. I like the O's to take game one and the plus money that comes with it.
Pick: Baltimore Orioles +142
Arizona Diamondbacks +115 New York Mets -135 Total: 8
The Diamondbacks have really missed Ketel Marte and the bullpen is still struggling mightily. The Mets are one of the more inconsistent teams in the league, but I do give the edge to New York and its starter in David Peterson. The Mets have a stronger lineup and bullpen in this contest, so I will take them on the money line here.
Pick: New York Mets -135
Cincinnati Reds +120 Cleveland Indians -140 Total: 8.5
The Battle of Ohio is set for its second series, this time at Progressive Field. I was impressed with the Indians' Zach Plesac in his last start against a tough White Sox lineup. I think his success carries over in this start, and I like the Indians to find a win over the Reds and Wade Miley.
Pick: Cleveland Indians -140
Milwaukee Brewers +114 Miami Marlins -134 Total: 6.5
The Marlins' Trevor Rogers had a rough start against the Nationals in his last outing, but overall he has been fantastic this season with a 1.91 ERA (6th best in the league). The Brewers' Brent Suter will open this game and the bullpen will pitch the rest of the way. I think the Marlins hold the edge, as they are playing great baseball. I like the Fish on the money line.
Pick: Miami Marlins -134
Minnesota Twins -140 Detroit Tigers +120 Total: 9
The Twins are officially the most disappointing team in the league with an 11-19 record. I do think the Twins caught a break by drawing the Tigers in this weekend series, and I like Minnesota's Matt Shoemaker to at least out-pitch the Tigers' Tarik Skubal who is 0-4 with a 6.14 ERA. The Twins' bats are the difference-maker for me here.
Pick: Minnesota Twins -140
Philadelphia Phillies +140 Atlanta Braves -160 Total: 8.5
This should be a great series between two NL East rivals, but I give the edge to the Braves and Charlie Morton here. The Phillies' Zach Eflin has always been an average starting pitcher, as he is usually good to allow three or four runs per start. I think the Braves continue their winning ways and get a victory on Friday.
Pick: Atlanta Braves -160
Seattle Mariners -115 Texas Rangers -105 Total: 9
Here we have two of the more surprising teams in the league, as the Mariners are two games above .500 and the Rangers are only one game below .500. The Mariners' Chris Flexin had a good start to the year, but he was not the sharpest in his last start against the Angels. The Rangers' Mike Foltynewicz allows plenty of base hits but not too many walks, which is important for a starting pitcher nowadays. I think the Rangers earn a victory at home to start this weekend series.
Pick: Texas Rangers -105
Chicago White Sox -160 Kansas City Royals +140 Total: 8.5
The White Sox own this pitching matchup, as Chicago's Carlos Rodon faces off against the Royals' Brad Keller. Rodon's ERA is below 1.00 this season and he is also 4-0. Brad Keller is 2-3 with an 8.06 ERA and I cannot trust him in this spot with a loaded White Sox lineup as his opponent. I like Chicago in game one.
Pick: Chicago White Sox -160
Toronto Blue Jays +120 Houston Astros -140 Total: 9
The Blue Jays' Ross Stripling has struggled this season and I do not think things get any easier against this Stros lineup. The Astros' Jose Urquidy just has to be decent for his team to win this game, and that is exactly what Urquidy has been this year. I like Houston as the home favorite.
Pick: Houston Astros -140
Colorado Rockies +175 St. Louis Cardinals -205 Total: 7
I think the Rockies' Austin Gomber is a lot better than his ERA may suggest, but unfortunately, his team's lineup is very weak when playing away from Coors Field. I think that, mixed with the Cardinals' Jack Flaherty who has been fantastic this season, leads me to like the under in this contest. Runs should be hard to come by in this one.
Pick: Under 7
Los Angeles Dodgers -160 Los Angeles Angels +140 Total: 8.5
The battle of LA is ready at Angel Stadium this weekend and I think the Angels are going to pull off the upset in the first game of this series. The Angels' Griffin Canning was sensational in his last start against the Mariners (it did not hurt that his team gave him 10 runs of run support early on), and I think that carries over to this start. The Dodgers' Julio Urias should also have a quality start in this one, but I look for the Angels to take over this game late.
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +140
Tampa Bay Rays +120 Oakland Athletics -140 Total: 8
The Rays' Rich Hill is on the mound in this contest, which is automatically a red flag for me. Hill has not looked miserable recently, but he still has that 6.39 ERA and has lost a ton of velocity over the years. I do not think he can out-pitch Sean Manaea here, and I like the A's to win the first game of this series in Oakland.
Pick: Oakland Athletics -140
San Diego Padres -140 San Francisco Giants +120 Total: 7
The Giants are in first place in the NL West standings, yet are not getting the respect they deserve from the bookmakers. I think the Giants have a great shot at winning the first game of this series against the Padres, and the plus money entices me even more. The Padres' Blake Snell has been sharp but so has the Giants' Anthony DeScalfani. I think we are getting too much value to pass up here with the Giants.
Pick: San Francisco Giants +120