MLB Picks and Predictions for 4/27/21 - Free MLB Picks
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Free MLB Picks
MLB Games on Tuesday, April 27th
Every team in the MLB is in action on Tuesday, April 27th, 2021 which means there are plenty of value spots to be found. Here is what Tuesday’s card looks like thus far as well as our picks and the betting odds.
Minnesota Twins -110 Cleveland Indians -110 Total: 7.5
Kenta Maeda for Minnesota was shelled in his last start but I still think he holds the edge over the Indians’ Civale in this one. The Twins are a lot better than their record may suggest and I think they are getting good value because of their recent struggles. I will take Minnesota here.
Pick: Minnesota Twins -110
Kansas City Royals -110 Pittsburgh Pirates -110 Total: 8
The Royals’ Jakob Junis and Pittsburgh’s Tyler Anderson are two pitchers that have below 4.00 ERA’s. Both the Royals and Pirates have done well in the field and on the mound, while the bats may not be as explosive as other teams in the league. I think the strongest play here is on the under in what should be a pitcher’s duel.
Pick: Under 8 runs
New York Yankees -172 Baltimore Orioles +147 Total: 9
The Orioles’ Bruce Zimmerman may be in trouble against a Yankees lineup that has done very well against Baltimore left-handed pitching in recent years. The Yanks’ Corey Kluber had his best start of the year last time out and should be able to build on that. The Yankees do not hold too much value, but I think it is our only option.
Pick: New York Yankees -172
Washington Nationals -150 Toronto Blue Jays +130 Total: 8.5
The Nationals’ Max Scherzer has been fantastic since his bad season debut against the Braves. Scherzer has allowed one earned run in his last 19.0 innings, which is a stat line I cannot ignore. Toronto’s Trent Thornton has been good this season as well, but he does pitch deep into games and that should be the difference-maker in this one.
Pick: Washington Nationals -150
Boston Red Sox -145 New York Mets +125 Total: 8.5
The Red Sox’s Garrett Richards should never be a -145 price on the road, and even though the Mets’ Peterson has struggled, the Mets hold on the value in my eyes. New York played well against the Nationals after a poor showing in Chicago, and I think the Red Sox are in trouble in this game.
New York Mets +125
Oakland A’s -120 Tampa Bay Rays +110 Total: 8.5
Both Oakland’s Frankie Montas and Tampa Bay’s Michael Wacha are very underwhelming starters, therefore I think we see plenty of offense in the Trop on Tuesday. The A’s’ offense is electric and while the Rays are struggling to score, they are known for timely hitting and I think that’s enough for us to get over this total.
Pick: Oakland A’s -120
Chicago Cubs +145 Atlanta Braves -170 Total: 8.5
The Cubs’ Trevor Williams has been far too inconsistent for my money and the Cubs themselves are still hitting .213 as a team. The Braves’ Anderson looked sharp in his last start against the Yankees and I think the Cubs’ lineup is far less challenging than the Bombers. Anderson should have no problem keeping the Braves in this game, and the frustrated bats should take Atlanta the rest of the way.
Pick: Atlanta Braves -170
Miami Marlins +140 Milwaukee Brewers -160 Total: 8
Both Miami’s Daniel Castano and Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser have fared well this season. Castano does not strike out enough batters for my liking, which is a major part of modern-day pitching. The Marlins’ Castano also has four walks in 10.0 innings, which is not the sharpest. I think Houser and the Brew Crew hold the advantage in the second game of this series.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -160
Philadelphia Phillies -110 St. Louis Cardinals -110 Total: 8
The Cardinals’ Carlos Martinez kept his team in the game in his last start, despite earning the loss in a 1-0 game. Philadelphia’s Eflin is not impressive enough for me to pass on the home team here. St. Louis is plainly the better team with the stronger bullpen and I think getting the Cards at a -110 price at home is too much value to pass up.
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -110
Los Angeles Angels -150 Texas Rangers +130 Total: 9
We have two pitchers in the Angels’ Quintana and the Rangers’ Foltynewicz that have struggled badly this season. Los Angeles’ Quintana pitched well against Texas in his last outing, but that is not enough for me to trust him the second around. I think both teams score lots of runs in what should be a shootout offensively.
Pick: Over 9 runs
Detroit Tigers +190 Chicago White Sox -220 Total: 7.5
Detroit’s Jose Urena is 0-3 with a 4.57 ERA, and he has major control issues. Urena has surrendered 12 walks in only 21.2 innings this season, which is a problem when facing a team like the White Sox. The White Sox’s Lucas Giolito should have no issues at all when facing the weakest offense in the entire MLB. I think the White Sox win in an ugly one.
Pick: Chicago White Sox -1.5
Seattle Mariners +155 Houston Astros -180 Total: 9
Houston’s Cristian Javier has fantastic stuff and looked unhittable against the Angels in his last start. Javier struck out eight batters in the first 3.2 innings of his last start and he is hard to fade in this spot. The Mariners’ Marco Gonzales has been awful and Houston loves facing left-handed pitching. I expect a game that is over before it starts.
Pick: Houston Astros -1.5
San Diego Padres -160 Arizona Diamondbacks +140 Total: 9
While San Diego’s Chris Paddack has been inconsistent, the D-Backs’ Merril Kelley has been consistently bad. The Padres are playing their best baseball of the season and I do not think they let a game like this pass them by. The D-Backs are sneaky and have been valuable as a dog this season, but not on Tuesday.
Pick: San Diego Padres -160
Colorado Rockies +150 San Francisco Giants -175 Total: 8
It is surprising to see the Giants as a -175 favorite, but it makes sense when you look at the pitching matchup and how well the Giants have played recently. The Rockies’ Chi Chi Gonzales pitched well against the Giants in his last start against San Fran, but he only struck out one batter in five innings which is worrisome. This is a stay-away game for me currently, but I do think the under has some value.
Pick: Under 8 runs
Cincinnati Reds +200 Los Angeles Dodgers -235 Total: 7.5
Those +200 odds with the Reds are very tempting, but the Dodgers’ Walker Buehler has been excellent this season and I do not think the struggling Reds will get to him on the road. Cincinnati’s Jeff Hoffman is more than likely in store for a rough outing, and the Dodgers on the run line is the only play that makes somewhat sense to me in an otherwise invaluable game.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5