New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies - 9/17/20 MLB Picks and Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies need a win after losing five of their last six games. The Phillies have scored 10 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last nine games. The Phillies have won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring four or more runs. Didi Gregorius leads the Phillies with 47 hits and 31 RBI while Andrew McCutchen and Jean Segura have combined for 86 hits and 51 RBI. Aaron Nola gets the ball, and he is 5-3 with a 2.40 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Nola is 8-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 107 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

The Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 Thursday games, 2-6 in their last 8 road games and 2-5 in their last 7 overall. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games, 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games and 3-12 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series. The over is 6-2 in Mets last 8 overall. The over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite. The Mets are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia and 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.

Seth Lugo has allowed four runs and 11 hits in his last 10.1 innings while Aaron Nola has allowed three earned runs and 13 hits in his last 20.1 innings. Most are going to be on the Phillies here because Nola is the popular pitcher and the Phillies are the better team when playing well. The issue here is the Phillies aren't playing well and Lugo has been highly impressive this season in his own right. Hard to turn down plus money with Lugo on the mound. Give me the Mets.