Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros - 10/25/19 MLB World Series Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros - 10/25/19 MLB World Series Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Astros (114-60) at Washington Nationals (102-71)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 25, 2019 at 8:07 pm (Nationals Park)

Zack Greinke (18-7) (3.27) vs. Anibal Sanchez (12-8) (3.63)

The Line: Washington Nationals +105 / Houston Astros -125 --- Over/Under: 7

TV: FOX

The Houston Astros and Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action at Nationals Park.

The Houston Astros need a victory here to give themselves a realistic chance of winning the World Series. The Astros are coming off a brutal 3-12 loss in game two and hope to avoid three straight losses for the second time since August 18. The Houston Astros are 1-6 this postseason when allowing four or more runs. Offensively, Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 19 hits and eight RBI while Michael Brantley and Yuli Gurriel have combined for 26 hits and 12 RBI. Zack Greinke gets the ball, and he was 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA and 187 strikeouts this season. Greinke is 3-6 with a 4.44 ERA and 75 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Washington Nationals can all but put this series to bed with a victory here and a 3-0 lead. The Nationals have won eight straight games and the offense has scored five or more runs in four straight games. The Washington Nationals haven’t lost a game when scoring at least five runs since August 17. Trea Turner leads the Nationals with 13 hits and three RBI while Anthony Rendon and Juan Soto have combined for 24 hits and 17 RBI. Anibal Sanchez gets the ball, and he was 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 3-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 60 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Astros are 39-14 in their last 53 games following an off day, 10-4 in their last 14 road games and 5-2 in Greinkes last 7 road starts. The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day, 38-15 in their last 53 home games and 18-8 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. The Astros are 6-18 in the last 24 meetings in Washington and 6-20 in the last 26 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games following an off day. The under is 5-2 in Greinkes last 7 road starts. The 

Greinke has allowed 40 hits and 19 runs in his last 35.1 innings, and he has a 6.43 ERA in the postseason. Sanchez has allowed 32 hits and 15 earned runs in his last 43.2 innings, and he has a 0.71 ERA this postseason. For the third straight time we're getting the red hot Washington Nationals as an underdog. While the Astros are in a must-win spot and have the better team from a talent standpoint, the value continues to be on the Nats and the plus money. Greinke hasn't been good in these playoffs, while Sanchez is coming off 7.2 shutout innings against the St. Louis Cardinals where he had a no-hitter much of that game. The Washington Nationals are simply on fire right now and the confidence is through the roof. I'll keep taking these favorable prices until they stop cashing.

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Randy’s Pick Washington Nationals +105

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.