Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals - 10/22/19 MLB World Series Game 1 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals - 10/22/19 MLB World Series Game 1 Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Nationals (101-71) at Houston Astros (114-59)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 22, 2019 at 8:08 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Max Scherzer vs. Gerrit Cole

The Line: Houston Astros -200 / Washington Nationals +175 --- Over/Under: 7

TV: FOX

The Washington Nationals and Houston Astros meet Tuesday in game one of the World Series at Minute Maid Park.

The Washington Nationals will play their first game in a week after sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals. The Nationals pitching staff has allowed just six runs in their last three games and four or less runs in eight of their 10 postseason games. The Washington Nationals have won 15 straight games when allowing five or less runs. Offensively, Anthony Rendon leads the Nationals with 12 hits and seven RBI while Trea Turner and Howie Kendrick have combined for 23 hits and 12 RBI. Max Scherzer gets the ball, and he was 11-7 with a 2.92 ERA and 243 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 6-5 with a 3.35 ERA and 127 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Houston Astros are coming off a six-game series with the New York Yankees and are in the World Series for the second time in the last three years. The Astros have found their offense lately, scoring 19 runs in their last four games and getting most of their production from the homers as of late. The Houston Astros have won seven of their eight postseason games when scoring more than one run. Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 15 hits and eight RBI while Michael Brantley and Alex Bregman have combined for 20 hits and six RBI. Gerrit Cole gets the ball, and he was 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 326 strikeouts this season. Cole is 5-3 with a 2.26 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 road games, 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games and 40-16 in their last 56 overall. The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games, 39-13 in their last 52 games following an off day and 55-22 in their last 77 overall. The Nationals are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Houston and 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. The under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 overall. The under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 road games.

Scherzer has allowed 35 hits and 21 runs in his last 49.2 innings, and he had a 2.64 ERA and .218 allowed batting average on the road. Cole has allowed 30 hits and six earned runs in his last 64.2 innings, and he had a 2.63 ERA and .175 allowed batting average at home. Scherzer isn't as dominant as he used to be, but he's still extremely good and was better on the road than he was at home. Cole looks like the best pitcher in baseball, and the Astros haven't lost with him on the mound since July 12. The Astros should be favored here and betting against Cole these days seems like a waste of money. However, we're getting an extremely hot Washington Nationals club with an ace on the hill for nearly two times our money. In terms of value, I rather have something on the Nationals than lay big juice with the Astros. 

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Randy’s Pick Washington Nationals +175

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.