New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros ALCS Game 5 - 10/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros ALCS Game 5 - 10/18/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Astros (112-58) at New York Yankees (107-61)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 18, 2019 at 7:08 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Justin Verlander (22-7) (2.66) vs. James Paxton (15-6) (3.88)

The Line: New York Yankees -130 / Houston Astros +120 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FS1 Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees will meet up for Game 5 of their ALCS in MLB activity Friday. 

New York jumped out to an early lead in this series with a 7-0 shutout in Game 1, but Houston came back to forge a 2-1 advantage with victories 3-2 in Game 2 and 4-1 in Game 3. On Thursday in a rain-postponed Game 4, Houston escaped some sticky situations and had a couple of big innings as the Yankees bats continued to go silent. The Astros escaped with an 8-3 victory and a commanding 3-1 series lead. Houston will set up for the knockout blow here. 

For Friday’s Game 5, the Astros will send out Justin Verlander in the start. Over 223.0 innings and a 21-6 record this year, Verlander put up a 2.58 ERA with 300 Ks and 42 BBs. 

Get Our Experts BEST BETS For All Of The Games CLICK HERE

Over on the Yankees’ side, they’re going with James Paxton in the start Friday. Across 150.2 innings and a 15-6 record, Paxton put up a 3.82 ERA with 186 Ks and 55 walks this year. 

The Astros are 51-20 in their last 71 Friday game sad 40-11 in their last 51 versus a left-handed starter. Houston is 4-1 in Verlander’s last five starts with four days’ rest and 4-1 in his last five versus the AL East. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees are 22-10 in their last 32 Friday games and 6-0 in Paxton’s last six home starts. New York is 4-0 in Paxton’s last four Friday starts and 20-8 in his last 28 starts. 

Verlander had a sketchy outing in the Tampa series, with four earned on seven hits in 3.2 innings on October 8. Aside from that, he’s been solid in the postseason with a combined 13.2 innings, six hits and two earned. New York got to him a little bit in his start this series but he still managed a two-earned quality start over 6.2 innings and the Yankees didn’t score otherwise. Verlander will be fine here. 

Paxton posted 2.1 innings with one earned, four hits and two walks in that same game, which isn’t the strongest start in the world. He’s given up four earned in 7.0 innings on nine hits this postseason. 

Considering what Verlander and the Astros are capable of, and looking at the line, this seems like a good spot to take Houston. 

See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Andrew’s Pick Houston Astros +120

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Free Parlay Mitch's NBA Basketball Parlay for 1/18/21 NBA Pick and Prediction

Guaranteed Packages

Guaranteed packages automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.