Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 10/15/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
St. Louis Cardinals (94-75) at Washington Nationals (99-71)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 15, 2019 at 8:05 pm (Nationals Park)
Dakota Hudson (16-7) (3.31) vs. Patrick Corbin (14-8) (3.42)
The Line: Washington Nationals -158 / St. Louis Cardinals +142 --- Over/Under: 7.5
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Washington Nationals will meet up for Game 4 of the NLCS in MLB activity on Tuesday.
There wasn’t much offense going on in the Busch Stadium games of this series; just six combined runs overall. Washington managed a 2-0 win in Friday’s Game 1 and a 3-1 victory in Game 2 Saturday to take a commanding 2-0 series lead going back to Nationals Park. In Game 3 on Monday, the Nats pushed through four runs in the third inning and cruised to an eventual 8-1 victory as the Cards offense stalled again.
For the Tuesday Game 4, the Cardinals will send out Dakota Hudson in the start. Across 174.2 innings and a 16-7 record this year, Hudson posted a 3.35 ERA with 136 Ks and 86 walks.
Over on the Nationals’ side, they’re going with Patrick Corbin for Game 4. Over 202.0 innings and a 14-7 record this year, Corbin posted a 3.25 ERA with 238 Ks and 70 walks.
The Cardinals are 20-6 in Hudson’s last 26 starts and 20-6 in his last 26 on grass. St. Louis is 9-3 in Hudson’s last 12 road starts and the under is 12-3-2 in the last 17 Tuesday games.
Meanwhile, the Nationals are 4-1 in Corbin’s last five starts and 13-3 in his last 16 home starts. Washington is 4-1 in Corbin’s last five starts on grass and 4-0 in their last four Tuesday games.
Hudson made one appearance versus Atlanta, posting 4.2 innings with five hits and four runs (one earned) alongside two strikeouts and two walks. As for Corbin, he was lit up in a relief appearance versus the Dodgers (six earned in 0.2 innings) but otherwise he’s been solid with 7.2 innings, one earned and three hits in three other appearances.
The potential for more offense in this game is here, but I don’t think either team has the bats to do much about it—St. Louis in particular. I’m going to stick with the Nationals in this one. A sweep feels a little odd in this series but it’s also more realistic at this point.