St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals - 10/15/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals - 10/15/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

St. Louis Cardinals (94-75) at Washington Nationals (99-71)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 15, 2019 at 8:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Dakota Hudson (16-7) (3.31) vs. Patrick Corbin (14-8) (3.42)

The Line: Washington Nationals -156 / St. Louis Cardinals +135 --- Over/Under: 8

TV: TBS

The St. Louis Cardinals and Washington Nationals meet Tuesday in game four of the NLCS at Nationals Park.

The St. Louis Cardinals need a win here to save their season and force a game five on Wednesday. The Cardinals still can’t put offense together, as they’ve scored two runs this series and have been held to one or less runs in five of their last seven games. The St. Louis Cardinals have zero chance of getting back in this series if the bats don’t heat up rather quickly. Marcell Ozuna leads the Cardinals with 11 hits and five RBI while Paul Goldschmidt and Paul DeJong have combined for 17 hits and four RBI. Dakota Hudson gets the ball, and he was 16-7 with a 3.35 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. Hudson is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and two strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Washington Nationals can advance to their first ever World Series with a victory here. The Nationals pitching staff has allowed three or less runs in their last five games and three or less runs in seven of their nine postseason games. The Washington Nationals have won 14 straight games when allowing less than six runs. Offensively, Howie Kendrick leads the Nationals with 11 hits and nine RBI while Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner have combined for 21 hits and seven RBI. Patrick Corbin gets the ball, and he was 14-7 with a 3.25 ERA and 238 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 road games, 20-6 in Hudsons last 26 starts and 9-3 in Hudsons last 12 road starts. The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games, 13-3 in Corbins last 16 home starts and 4-1 in Corbins last 5 starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington. The under is 11-5-2 in Corbins last 18 starts overall. The over is 5-2 in Hudsons last 7 starts overall.

Hudson has allowed 20 hits and eight earned runs in his last 31.2 innings, and he has a 4.13 ERA and .271 allowed batting average on the road. Corbin has allowed 37 hits and 21 earned runs in his last 41.2 innings, and he has a 2.40 ERA and .199 allowed batting average at home. Corbin is not only the better pitcher here, but he's been money at home this season. The St. Louis Cardinals also have zero betting value with the way the offense looks, as this batting order simply has done nothing since lighting the Atlanta Braves on fire in game five. There's also a point in a series where the opponent has its will broken and series' usually end rather quickly after that, and there's good reason to assume the Cards have reached that point. Nationals sweep and go to their first ever World Series. 

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Randy’s Pick Washington Nationals -156

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.