Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 10/14/19 MLB NLCS Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 10/14/19 MLB NLCS Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

St. Louis Cardinals (94-75) at Washington Nationals (99-71)

MLB Baseball: Monday, October 14, 2019 at 7:38 pm (Nationals Park)

Jack Flaherty (12-9) (2.75) vs. Stephen Strasburg (20-6) (3.25)

The Line: Washington Nationals -130 / St. Louis Cardinals +110 --- Over/Under: 7

TV: TBS

The St. Louis Cardinals and Washington Nationals meet Monday in game three of the NLCS at Nationals Park.

The St. Louis Cardinals need a victory here if they’re going to save their season and get back in this series. The Cardinals have scored just one run in their last 24 innings and have scored one or less runs in four of their last six games. The St. Louis Cardinals are a scrappy bunch, but it’s impossible to win in todays game without putting together offense and this batting order has gone ice cold at the worst possible time. Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 10 hits and two RBI while Marcell Ozuna and Tommy Edman have combined for 15 hits and seven RBI. Jack Flaherty gets the ball, and he was 11-8 with a 2.75 ERA and 231 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Washington Nationals can all but put this series to bed with another victory and a commanding 3-0 lead. The Nationals have allowed a combined five runs in their last four games and three or less runs in six of their eight playoff games. The Washington Nationals have won each of their last 13 games when allowing less than six runs. Trea Turner leads the Nationals with 10 hits and one RBI while Anthony Rendon and Howie Kendrick have combined for 17 hits and 11 RBI. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball, and he was 18-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 251 strikeouts this season. Strasburg is 3-2 with a 1.32 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 road games, 11-5 in Flahertys last 16 starts and 8-3 in Flahertys last 11 starts with 4 days of rest. The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games, 89-35 in Strasburgs last 124 starts and 44-19 in Strasburgs last 63 home starts. The Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburgs last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals. The Cardinals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington. The under is 5-2-1 in Strasburgs last 8 starts overall. The under is 13-4-2 in Flahertys last 19 starts overall.

Flaherty has allowed 29 hits and eight runs in his last 57 innings, and he has a 3.13 ERA and .214 allowed batting average on the road. Strasburg has allowed 29 hits and 12 runs in his last 45 innings, and he has a 3.21 ERA and .202 allowed batting average at home. While Flaherty has been incredible since August, he pitches for a team that can't do anything offensively right now, and he was already a victim of that in game two against the Braves, giving the Cards seven strong innings and getting no run support in return. Backing the St. Louis Cardinals right now isn't an option for me given that they've scored just one run in their last 24 innings. It's almost like they shot their entire load in the first three innings against the Braves in game five. Oh, Strasburg isn't too shabby in his own right, and you usually don't get these cheap prices with him on the hill. Nats all but put this series to bed.

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Randy’s Pick Washington Nationals -130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.