Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees ALCS Game 2 - 10/13/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports
New York Yankees (106-59) at Houston Astros (110-57)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 8:08 pm (Minute Maid Park)
James Paxton (15-6) (3.88) vs. Justin Verlander (22-7) (2.66)
The Line: Houston Astros -160 / New York Yankees +144 --- Over/Under: 7.5
The New York Yankees and the Houston Astros will match up on the MLB diamond for Game 2 of the ALCS on Sunday.
In the opener of this set on Saturday, the Yankees got a big lift from a masterful performance courtesy of Masahiro Tanaka, who finished with one hit in 6.0 innings. New York would break the game open over the final four innings, finishing up with a very important 7-0 shutout win. The Yanks held Houston to just three hits on the night.
For the Sunday Game 2, the Yankees will send out James Paxton in the start. Over 150.2 innings and a 15-6 mark this regular season, Paxton posted a 3.82 ERA with 186 Ks and 55 BBs.
Over on the Astros’ side, they’re going with Justin Verlander in the start Sunday. Verlander logged 223.0 innings with a 21-6 record, a 2.58 ERA, 300 strikeouts and 42 walks.
The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 Sunday games and 6-0 in Paxton’s last six road starts. New York is 20-7 in Paxton’s last 27 starts and the over is 20-8-1 in their last 29 Sunday games.
Meanwhile, the Astros are 21-5 in their last 26 Sunday games and 5-1 in Verlander’s last six home starts. Houston is 5-1 in Verlander’s last six Sunday starts and 36-16 in his last 52 starts.
Paxton appeared in one game in the Twins series, going 4.2 innings with three earned on five hits. A little sketchy, but the Yankees offense made up for the disparity.
Conversely, Verlander is coming off a loss to Tampa Bay in a 4-1 defeat, going 3.2 innings with four earned runs. He was great in the other game he started during that series however, with zero earned on one hit in 7.0 innings of work for a victory.
Verlander won’t post bad back-to-back starts. He’ll be on point here, and the Yankees hitters will have to be extremely patient. In the meantime, Paxton will be tasked with holding back an explosive Houston offense. That’s a lot to ask, even from a great New York team. I’m going Astros here.