Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals - 10/9/19 MLB Game 5 NLDS Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
Washington Nationals (95-71) at Los Angeles Dodgers (108-57)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, October 9, 2019 at 8:37 pm (Dodger Stadium)
Stephen Strasburg (20-6) (3.22) vs. Walker Buehler (15-4) (3.15)
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -145 / Washington Nationals +134 --- Over/Under: 7
The Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium.
The Washington Nationals can advance to their first NLCS since 1981 when they were the Montreal Expos. The Nationals found their offense in Washington, scoring 10 runs and 16 hits in two games. The Washington Nationals have won 18 of their last 19 games when scoring four or more runs. Howie Kendrick leads the Nationals with four hits and one RBI while Juan Soto and Adam Eaton have combined for six hits and three RBI. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball, and he was 18-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 251 strikeouts this season. Strasburg is 3-2 with a 0.64 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Los Angeles Dodgers look to reach their fourth straight NLCS with a home victory here. The Dodgers offense has been hit or miss this series, and that includes just one run in their game four loss and being 0-8 with RISP. The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost eight of their last 11 games when scoring three or less runs. Justin Turner leads the Dodgers with six hits and five RBI while Max Muncy and Cody Bellinger have combined for seven hits and five RBI. Walker Buehler gets the ball, and he was 14-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 215 strikeouts this season. Buehler is 1-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win, 11-5 in their last 16 games following an off day and 1-4 in their last 5 during game 5 of a series. The Dodgers are 55-19 in their last 74 home games, 54-24 in their last 78 games following an off day and 2-6 in their last 8 during game 5 of a series. The Nationals are 17-36 in the last 53 meetings in Los Angeles and 5-11 in the last 16 meetings. The over is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 games following an off day. The under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.
Strasburg has allowed 23 hits and nine runs in his last 39 innings, and he has a 3.39 ERA and .215 allowed batting average on the road. Buehler has allowed 25 hits and 14 runs in his last 34 innings, and he has a 2.86 ERA and .208 allowed batting average at home. Both of these pitchers have dominated the opposing teams lineups in their previous appearances in this series, so get ready for a low scoring game where everything will be magnified. With that said, we're getting an ace pitcher in Strasburg and plus money. Those who have followed me over the years during the regular season know I love getting ace quality pitchers and plus money. Strasburg has been dialed in his last seven appearances and is fresh off 10 strikeouts in six innings against these very Dodgers on the road. As good as Buehler is, he's still inexperienced when it comes to these moments, and while he looked good last Thursday, he did struggle in the month of September. Give me the Nats and the more favorable price.