Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 10/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 10/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Dodgers (107-57) at Washington Nationals (95-70)

MLB Baseball: Monday, October 7, 2019 at 6:40 pm (Nationals Park)

Rich Hill vs. Max Scherzer

The Line: Washington Nationals -138 / Los Angeles Dodgers +125 --- Over/Under: 8.5

TV: TBS

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Washington Nationals meet Monday in game four of the NLDS at Nationals Park.

The Los Angeles Dodgers hope to advance to another NLCS with a victory here. The Dodgers finally exploded offensively in their game three victory, as they looked like the team we saw for much of the season. The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 18 of their last 21 games when scoring more than two runs. Justin Turner leads the Dodgers with five hits and four RBI while David Freese and Max Muncy have combined for seven hits and five RBI. Rich Hill gets the ball, and he was 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. Hill is 1-2 with a 3.04 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Washington Nationals need a victory here to save their season and force a game five on Wednesday. The Nationals pitching staff has fallen apart twice in three games and they simply don’t have the horses offensively to counter. The Washington Nationals have lost seven of their last 11 games when allowing four or more runs. Adam Eaton leads the Nationals with three hits and one RBI while Anthony Rendon and Juan Soto have combined for six hits and three RBI. Max Scherzer gets the ball, and he was 11-7 with a 2.92 ERA and 243 strikeouts this season. Scherzer is 4-5 with a 3.78 ERA and 109 strikeouts in his postseason career. 

The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series, 20-8 in Hills last 28 road starts and 22-7 in Hills last 29 starts. The Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, 6-2 in their last 8 Monday games and 37-18 in their last 55 overall. The Dodgers are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington and 11-4 in the last 15 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 playoff games. The over is 8-2-2 in Hills last 12 road starts.

Hill has allowed 18 hits and six runs in his last 25.2 innings, and he has a 2.36 ERA and .227 allowed batting average on the road. Scherzer has allowed 30 hits and 20 runs in his last 35.2 innings, and he has a 3.16 ERA and .224 allowed batting average at home. Hill has pretty much been the same pitcher wherever he's been, but he also hasn't pitched much this season and being thrown into this spot on the road could be tricky. Scherzer has been hit or miss this season, but you have to trust him as an ace and in 131 at bats against current Dodgers, he's allowing a .168 batting average with 45 strikeouts. The Washington Nationals offense better wake up, but I like them to force a game five nonetheless. 

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Randy’s Pick Washington Nationals -138

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.