Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals - 10/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
Los Angeles Dodgers (107-57) at Washington Nationals (95-70)
MLB Baseball: Monday, October 7, 2019 at 6:40 pm (Nationals Park)
Rich Hill (4-1) (2.45) vs. Max Scherzer (11-7) (2.92)
The Line: Washington Nationals -135 / Los Angeles Dodgers +122 --- Over/Under: 8.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals will match up for Game 4 of their NLDS in MLB activity on Monday.
In Game 1 of this series on Thursday, the Dodgers banged out a big 6-0 shutout victory. Washington’s bats woke up in Game 2 on Friday, and they were able to power out a 4-2 win to even up the set at 1-1. In the Sunday Game 3 at Nationals Park, Washington jumped out to a 2-0 lead after one inning but LA slammed in seven runs in the sixth inning on the way to a big 10-4 victory to take control of the series back.
For Monday’s Game 4, the Dodgers will likely be sending out Rich Hill in the start. This regular season across 58.2 innings and a 4-1 record, Hill posted a 2.45 ERA with 72 Ks and 18 BBs.
Over on the Nationals’ side, they’re going to be rolling with Max Scherzer. In the regular season Scherzer went 11-7 with a 2.92 ERA and 243 Ks. He last appeared in Game 2, striking out the side in relief.
The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 in Game 4 of a series and 4-0 in Hill’s last seven starts with a week’s worth of rest or more. LA is 22-7 in Hill’s last 29 starts and 20-8 in his last 28 road starts.
Meanwhile, the Nationals are 6-2 in their last eight Monday games and 5-2 in their last seven in game four of a series. Washington is 41-18 in their last 59 home games and 37-18 in their last 55 overall.
Hill missed quite a bit of time this season with an MCL tear in his left knee, but was able to return on September 12 and he made three (very short) starts to end the regular season. In those games, Hill posted 5.2 innings with one hit, six walks and one earned run. As for Scherzer, he’s on short rest here after appearing in Game 2 and is Washington’s best hope to stay alive.
I’m not super confident about Hill right now even though it’s a small sample size—the BBs are a concern, as well as a fairly high pitch count—so I’m leaning Nationals.