Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros - 10/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports
Tampa Bay Rays (97-67) at Houston Astros (108-55)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 9:07 pm (Minute Maid Park)
Blake Snell (6-8) (4.37) vs. Gerrit Cole (20-5) (2.50)
The Line: Houston Astros -285 / Tampa Bay Rays +255 --- Over/Under: 7.5
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Houston Astros will meet up in Game 2 of their MLB American League Division Series Saturday.
In the Game 1 opener of this set on Friday Houston drew first blood with a 6-2 victory. Jose Altuve blasted a two-run homer in a four-run fifth inning and Justin Verlander controlled the game early by giving up just one hit in his start.
For Saturday’s Game 2, the Rays will send out Blake Snell for the start. Across his 107.0 innings and 6-8 record this year, Snell posted a 4.29 ERA with 147 Ks and 40 BBs.
Over on the Astros’ side, they’re sending out Gerrit Cole to start Saturday. Over 212.1 innings and a 20-5 mark this season, Cole put up a 2.50 ERA with 326 Ks and 48 walks.
The Rays are 4-1 in the last five Saturday games and 4-1 in their last five in game two of a series. Tampa is 4-1 in Snell’s last five Saturday starts and 19-7 in his last 26 with five days’ rest.
Meanwhile, the Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 Saturday games and 63-31 in their last 94 in game two of a series. Houston is 26-4 in Cole’s last 30 home starts and 6-1 in his last seven Saturday starts.
Snell had a bit of a bumpy run way back in June over a few games, but in seven starts since then he’s given up no more than two earned in an outing and is 2-1. He hasn't gone past 2.1 innings in any of his last three starts though, so look for a quick switch here if things get dicey.
As for Cole, he’s got five quality starts in his last six appearances, and is 5-0 during that stretch. He’s been dominant pretty much all year, so I’m firmly on the Astros here.