New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins ALDS Game 2 - 10/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Minnesota Twins (101-61) at New York Yankees (103-59)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 5:07 pm (Yankee Stadium)
Randy Dobnak (2-1) (1.59) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (11-9) (4.45)
The Line: New York Yankees -180 / Minnesota Twins +162 --- Over/Under: 9.5
The Minnesota Twins and the New York Yankees will meet up for Game 2 of their ALDS in MLB action Saturday.
In the Friday game one of this series, the Twins jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the top of the third, but New York banged out three runs in the bottom of that frame and seven more over the next four innings on the way to a 10-4 victory.
In the Saturday Game 2, the Twins will send out Randy Dobnak to start. Dobnak went 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 23 Ks this year but has just five Major-League starts to his credit.
Over on the Yankees’ side, they’re going with Masahiro Tanaka in the start Saturday. Across 182.0 innings and an 11-9 mark this year, Tanaka posted a 4.45 ERA with 149 Ks and 40 BBs.
The Twins are 5-0 in their last five in game two of a series and 23-6 in their last 29 Saturday games. Minnesota The under is 6-2 in Minnesota’s last eight in game two of a series as well.
Meanwhile, the Yankees are 42-17 in Tanaka’s last 59 home starts and 20-8 in his last 28 in game two of a series. New York is 9-1 in Tanaka’s last 10 Saturday starts and 21-8 in their last 29 in game two of a series.
Tanaka had a couple of bumpy no-decision outings in mid-September, with eight earned on 16 hits across 9.0 innings. He looked better in his last couple, though he did get into a sticky situation against the Rangers and coughed up one earned on five hits in 3.0 innings for a loss.
If Tanaka struggles with the long-ball from the Twins hitters early here the Yankees could be in for a choppy evening, but if he can post four or five solid innings they should be in good shape with the bullpen backing him up. I’m going to stick with New York.