New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins - 10/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins - 10/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Twins (101-61) at New York Yankees (103-59)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 5:07 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Randy Dobnak vs. Masahiro Tanaka (11-9) (4.45)

The Line: New York Yankees / Minnesota Twins --- Over/Under:

TV: FS1

The Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees meet Sunday in game two of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium. 

The Minnesota Twins need a win here to tie up the series before going home for game three on Monday. The Minnesota Twins need to find their pitching staff if they’re going to make this series interesting, as the starting pitching leaves a lot to be desired and the bullpen doesn’t scare anybody. The Twins allowed two or more runs in four of the eight innings. Jorge Polanco leads the Twins with two hits and two RBI while Marwin Gonzalez and Nelson Cruz have combined for three hits and one RBI. Randy Dobnak gets the ball, and he was 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobnak’s first career postseason appearance.

The New York Yankees have a chance to all but put this series to bed with a win here and a 2-0 lead. The New York Yankees showed just how deadly their lineup is when everybody is swinging the bats well, and it’s the main reason why they can make a run to the World Series. The Yanks bullpen also did its thing in the series opener, which has to be encouraging if you’re holding a NYY ticket. DJ LeMahieu leads the Yankees with three hits and four RBI while Edwin Encarnacion and Brett Gardner have combined for three hits and two RBI. Masahiro Tanaka gets the ball, and he was 11-9 with a 4.45 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Tanaka is 3-2 with a 1.50 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.

The Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series, 23-6 in their last 29 Saturday games and 5-22 in their last 27 playoff games. The Yankees are 52-17 in their last 69 home games, 14-4 in Tanakas last 18 starts and 42-17 in Tanakas last 59 home starts. The Twins are 12-40 in the last 52 meetings in New York and 21-60 in the last 81 meetings. The Yankees are 5-0 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. Twins. The under is 9-3 in Yankees last 12 home games. The under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.

Dobnak has allowed 14 hits and five earned runs in his last 20.1 innings, and he has a 0.56 ERA and .222 allowed batting average on the road. Tanaka has allowed 32 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 25 innings, and he has a 3.10 ERA and .238 allowed batting average at home. The Minnesota Twins have the offense to hang with the Yankees, but there's levels to this when it comes to the playoffs and the Yanks are built for the postseason with their mashers and the experience. Tanaka has also been great in October and has been money in his last four home starts. Like yesterday, give me the Yankees and the RL.

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Randy’s Pick New York Yankees -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.