Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 10/5/19 MLB ALDS Game 2 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 10/5/19 MLB ALDS Game 2 Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Rays (97-66) at Houston Astros (107-55)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 9:07 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Blake Snell (6-8) (4.37) vs. Gerrit Cole (20-5) (2.50)

The Line: Houston Astros / Tampa Bay Rays --- Over/Under:

TV: FS1

The Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros meet Saturday in game two of the ALDS at Minute Maid Park

The Tampa Bay Rays need a victory here before going home for game three on Monday. The Rays offense just couldn’t get going in game one and they didn’t get a single hit until the fifth inning. The good news is the Tampa Bay Rays found some offensive success late in the game and had a chance to put a scare into the Astros, which is positive given this teams ability to win late and produce walk-off victories. Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with three hits and two RBI while Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have combined for three hits and three RBI. Blake Snell gets the ball, and he was 6-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season. This will be Snell’s first career postseason appearance.

The Houston Astros can all but put this series to bed with another win here and a 2-0 lead. The Houston Astros rode Justin Verlander to seven shutout innings in the game one victory and put up four runs in the fifth inning that closed the deal. The Astros have now won 24 of their last 28 games when scoring four or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Astros with one hit and two RBI while Alex Bregman and Michael Brantley have combined for three hits and three runs. Gerrit Cole gets the ball, and he was 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 326 strikeouts this season. Cole is 2-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series, 1-4 in Snells last 5 road starts and 5-2 in Snells last 7 starts. The Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 home games, 63-31 in their last 94 during game 2 of a series and 26-4 in Coles last 30 home starts. The Rays are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and 4-1 in Snells last 5 starts vs. Astros. The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The over is 5-1 in Coles last 6 home starts. The over is 6-2-2 in Snells last 10 starts overall.

Snell has allowed 16 hits and five earned runs in his last 22 innings, and he has a 5.82 ERA and .270 allowed batting average on the road. Cole has allowed 20 hits and five earned runs in his last 42 innings, and he has a 2.63 ERA and .175 allowed batting average at home. Snell hasn't been good on the road if we're being kind, and the Astros haven't lost with Cole on the hill since July 12. It almost feels like if the Rays were going to steal a road game in this series, it would have come Friday with Tyler Glasnow on the mound. I'll take the Astros and the RL. 

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Randy’s Pick Houston Astros -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.