St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves - 10/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves - 10/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

St. Louis Cardinals (91-71) at Atlanta Braves (97-65)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 4, 2019 at 4:37 pm (SunTrust Park)

Jack Flaherty (11-8) (2.75) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (8-6) (4.54)

The Line: Atlanta Braves +110 / St. Louis Cardinals -132 --- Over/Under: 8

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The St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in game two of the NLDS at SunTrust Park. 

The St. Louis Cardinals exploded in the final two innings with six runs to steal game one and position themselves nicely in this series. The St. Louis Cardinals did what they usually do, and that’s play an ugly game, hang around and find a way to steal it in the end. It’s not always sexy with the Cardinals, but this is an experienced group that grinds out games and comes out on top more than not. Tommy Edman leads the Cardinals with two hits while Paul DeJong and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for four hits and one RBI. Jack Flaherty gets the ball, and he was 11-8 with a 2.75 ERA and 231 strikeouts this season. This will be Flaherty’s first career postseason appearance.

The Atlanta Braves have to feel like they let a game sleep away after carrying a two-run lead into the eighth inning. The Atlanta Braves are now in a must-win situation if they’re going to make a run in this series, as it’s nearly impossible to drop the first two contests at home and then pull off three straight victories. The Braves have now lost seven of their last nine postseason games. Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Braves with three hits and two RBI while Freddie Freeman and Dansby Swanson have combined for three hits and two RBI. Mike Foltynewicz gets the ball, and he was 8-6 with a 4.54 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. Foltynewicz is 0-1 with a 7.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 Friday games, 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series and 10-4 in Flahertys last 14 starts. The Braves are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series, 8-21 in their last 29 playoff games and 5-0 in Foltynewiczs last 5 home starts. The Cardinals are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Atlanta and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 3-1-1 in Foltynewiczs last 5 starts overall. The under is 12-3-2 in Flahertys last 17 starts overall.

Flaherty has allowed 17 hits and four runs in his last 44 innings, and he has a 3.13 ERA and .214 allowed batting average on the road. Foltynewicz has allowed 15 hits and five runs in his last 30 innings, and he has a 4.58 ERA and .246 allowed batting average at home. The Braves have lost just two games with Foltynewicz on the mound since June, but his numbers at home show that he can be hit and give up runs. Flaherty was lights out in the month of September and has actually allowed just seven earned runs in his last 72 innings. And while these obviously aren't the same Atlanta Braves from past years, they have a horrible track record in the postseason that didn't end last night. Give me the Cardinals and the unhittable pitcher. 


Randy’s Pick St. Louis Cardinals -132

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.