New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins - 10/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins - 10/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Twins (101-61) at New York Yankees (103-59)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 4, 2019 at 7:07 pm (Yankee Stadium)

TBD vs. James Paxton

The Line: New York Yankees -195 / Minnesota Twins +155 --- Over/Under: 9.5

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The Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. 

The Minnesota Twins are in the playoffs for the second time in the last three years and have won 10 of their last 13 games. The Minnesota Twins are where they are due to an offense that was second in runs per game, batting average, OPS and first in homers. With eight players who have hit 22 or more bombs this season, the Twins have enjoyed one of the best offensive seasons in baseball history. If the Twins get hot, they could crash the postseason for many of the favorites. Jorge Polanco leads the Twins with 186 hits and 79 RBI while Eddie Rosario and Nelson Cruz have combined for 296 hits and 217 RBI. Jose Berrios gets the ball, and he was 14-8 with a 3.68 ERA and 195 strikeouts this season. Berrios is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and four strikeouts in his postseason career. 

The New York Yankees are in the postseason for a third straight year and have lost four of their last five games. The New York Yankees are also here due to their offense, as they’re first in runs per game, fourth in team batting average, third in OPS and second in home runs. Throw a healthy Edwin Encarnacion and Giancarlo Stanton into the mix, and you can argue the Yankees have the scariest lineup in all of baseball. DJ LeMahieu leads the Yankees with 197 hits and 102 RBI while Gleyber Torres and Gio Urshela have combined for 291 hits and 164 RBI. James Paxton gets the ball, and he was 15-6 with a 3.82 ERA and 186 strikeouts this season. This will be Paxton’s first career postseason appearance.

The Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day, 37-16 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series and 5-22 in their last 27 playoff games. The Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 playoff home games, 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series and 19-7 in Paxtons last 26 starts. The Twins are 12-40 in the last 52 meetings in New York and 21-60 in the last 81 meetings. The over is 8-2 in Paxtons last 10 starts overall. The under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 playoff games.

This series is going to feature of ton of offense, so you may want to consider the over for these games. In the last three meetings, the Yanks and Twins have averaged 19 runs per game. Berrios has allowed 29 hits and 15 runs in his last 31.1 innings, and he has a 3.84 ERA and .241 allowed batting average on the road. Paxton has allowed 14 hits and three earned runs in his last 25.2 innings, and he has a 3.35 ERA and .211 allowed batting average on at home. Paxton is easily pitching his best in a Yankee uniform at the moment, finally looking like the pitcher the franchise thought they were getting. The New York Yankees are as healthy as they've been all season long and now have a reason to be motivated again after playing subpar ball to finish up September. An electric atmosphere in the Bronx, I look for the Yankees to make an early statement by putting on a show. Give m the home team and the RL. 


Randy’s Pick New York Yankees -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.