Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees - 10/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees - 10/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Twins (101-61) at New York Yankees (103-59)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 4, 2019 at 7:07 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Jose Berrios (14-8) (3.68) vs. James Paxton (15-6) (3.82)

The Line: New York Yankees -186 / Minnesota Twins +150 --- Over/Under: 9.5

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The Minnesota Twins and the New York Yankees will kick off their MLB American League Division Series Friday. 

The Twins finished off a stellar run in 2019 during the regular season, ultimately going 101-61 and winning the AL Central. Minnesota was eight games ahead of the Indians in the division and went 55-26 away from Target Field. 

For the Friday Game 1, the Twins will roll with Jose Berrios in the start. Berrios went 14-8 with a 3.68 ERA and 195 Ks this year. 

Over on the Yankees’ side, they finished 103-59 over the regular season, eclipsed in the AL only by the Astros, who went 107-55. New York went 57-24 at Yankee Stadium this year, a definitive home-field advantage. 

In Game 1 Friday, New York will send out James Paxton to start things off. Paxton was 15-6 this year with a 3.82 ERA and 186 Ks. 

The Twins are 6-1 in their last seven overall and 5-22 in their last 27 playoff games. Minnesota is 4-17 in their last 21 Divisional Playoff games and 0-6 in their last six playoff games. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees are 7-2 in their last nine home playoff games and 52-17 in their last 69 home games. New York is 2-5 in their last seven playoff games and 2-7 in the last nine in game one of a series. 

This will be Berrios’ first postseason start, but he does have a 2017 relief appearance at Yankee Stadium, taking the loss on three runs. 

As for Paxton, this is his first career playoff game. At Yankee Stadium this year, Paxton had a 3.35 ERA, and he also notches a 2.27 ERA in six career starts versus the Twins. 

All things considered this should be a fun series with lots of offense. I like the Yankees at home in Game 1 though. 


Andrew’s Pick New York Yankees -186

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.