| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-20 | 16-20 |
| Spread | +1.5 -180 | -1.5 148 |
| Moneyline | +115 | -138 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Tuesday, May 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-20 on the year and play the Yankees and Athletics next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .233 on the season and have a .318 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.96 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 36 hits and 12 RBI while Gunnar Henderson and Jeremiah Jackson have combined for 59 hits and 43 RBI.
Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 2-2 with a 5.46 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 1-2 with a 4.21 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Angels.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 16-19 on the year and play the Nationals and Twins next. The Miami Marlins are batting .251 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and have a .377 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 46 hits and 15 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 73 hits and 40 RBI.
Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 3-2 with a 3.04 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The home team has won six of the Orioles’ last seven games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 Tuesday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last five Tuesday games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have won seven of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games as home favorites has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Orioles’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six night games against American League opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Sandy Alcántara has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 13 games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.338) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his five previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (25).
- The Marlins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.96).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (196).
Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Orioles are coming off a brutal week and I don’t believe Bassitt will be the guy to turn things around. In 28 innings, Bassitt has a 5.46 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. The Marlins remain a feisty group that has value due to not getting much respect in the betting market. Alcantara has also shown signs of him getting back on track. He’s pitched a couple of shutout games and has a 3.04 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the season. The Marlins should win this game behind their ace and the price is cheap. Give me the fish.