Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction for this English Premier League Week 2 matchup on Saturday, August 23^rd, at the Turf Moor Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Burnley Preview

Burnley is coming off a 0-3 road defeat by Tottenham in the opening week of the Premier League. They had just 33% possession of the ball and also had fewer total shots, with 14, and 4 shots on goal. They also had 74% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.93 to Tottenham’s 2.32. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 matches.

Last season, Burnley scored 1.50 goals per game, while allowing 0.35 goals per game. Josh Brownhill was the top scorer for Burnley last season with 18 total goals, while Zian Flemming followed with 12 goals. Jaidon Anthony was the team’s top passer, with 7 assists made.

Sunderland Preview

Sunderland is coming off a 3-0 home victory over West Ham in their opening game of the season last week. Sunderland had just 37% possession of the ball, and fewer total shots, with 10, 5 of them on target. They had 0.68 expected goals, compared to West Ham’s 0.56. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games. 

Last season, Sunderland scored 1.29 goals per game, while allowing 0.96 goals per game. Wilson Isidor was the top scorer for Sunderland last season with 13 total goals, while Eliezer Mayenda Dossou added 10 total goals. Patrick Roberts was the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.

Why Burnley will win

• Burnley has won eight of its last nine league home matches.
• Burnley has won seven of its last eight league day matches.
• Burnley has won each of its last seven league day matches as a favorite.
• Burnley has won each of its last four league Saturday day home matches.
• Sunderland has lost each of its last five EPL matches following a league win.
• Sunderland has lost six of its last seven EPL away matches.
• The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last six league matches.
• The home team has won each of Sunderland’s last three EPL matches.

Why Sunderland will win

• Sunderland has won four of its last five league Saturday matches as an underdog.
• Sunderland has won each of its last three league matches as an underdog.
• Burnley has lost each of its last four EPL matches.
• The underdog has won each of Sunderland’s last seven league matches.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market has failed to hit in 13 of Burnley’s last 14 EPL Saturday matches as a favorite.
• The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market has failed to hit in 10 of Sunderland’s last 11 EPL Saturday matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in 16 of Sunderland’s last 18 EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last six league matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last four EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Sunderland’s last four league matches as an underdog.

Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction

In their two meetings last season in the Championship League, Sunderland won at home by 1-0, while both teams had a 0-0 draw in Burnley’s home court. Both teams are a perfectly balanced 4-4-5 in their last 13 head-to-head meetings, and are 3-3-5 in their 11 meetings in Turf Moor Stadium. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Turf Moor Stadium.

In this Sunderland vs Burnley Prediction, Burnley is coming as +140 home favorites. In this battle of the Premier League newcomers, both teams know each other very well. Their recent meetings have been perfectly balanced, and while Burnley is coming off a win last week, they had just 0.68 expected goals, which makes me hesitant to trust their offense. On the flip side, Sunderland was scoreless last week, and both teams combined for just one total goal in their two meetings last season. I expect another low-scoring grind in this one, so take the under 2.5 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 2.5