Sunderland (3-2-1) vs Manchester United (2-1-3)
October 4, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Manchester United -205 / Sunderland +500 — Over/Under: 3
In this article, we will formulate a Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 4th, at the Old Trafford. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.
Manchester United is scoring 1.17 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.83 goals per game, which is 14th. Bruno Fernandes is Manchester United’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Casemiro with 1 goal. Bryan Mbeumo and Diogo Dalot are Manchester United’s top passers, with 1 assist each.
Sunderland is scoring 1.17 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.67 goals per game, which is 5th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard, Eliezer Mayenda Dossou, Omar Alderete, and Enzo Le Fée with 1 goal apiece. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 3 assists.
· Manchester United has won 11 of its last 12 EPL matches against promoted teams at Old Trafford.
· The home team has won each of Manchester United’s last four EPL matches.
· Sunderland has lost six of its last seven EPL matches following a league win.
· Sunderland has won four of its last six league Saturday day matches as an underdog.
· Manchester United has lost five of its last six EPL day matches as a home favorite.
· The underdog has won nine of Sunderland’s last 12 league matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL home matches against promoted teams.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches as an underdog.
In this Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction, Manchester United is coming as -205 home favorites. This line makes no sense, as United are huge favorites even though they have fewer points than their opponents. Sunderland has been undefeated in their last four games, while United has lost two of their last three. On top of that, Sunderland has the 5th-best defense in the Premier League, compared to United’s 14th. The value here lies with the road team, as I expect them to keep this one close, so take Sunderland by +1 goal in this one.
Manchester United Preview
Manchester United has 7 points this season, with a 2-3-1 record, and are sitting in 14th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-1-0 home record and a 0-2-1 away record. Manchester United is coming off a 1-3 road loss against Brentford, where they had 56% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and higher expected goals, with 2.03 compared to Brentford’s 1.99.Manchester United is scoring 1.17 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.83 goals per game, which is 14th. Bruno Fernandes is Manchester United’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Casemiro with 1 goal. Bryan Mbeumo and Diogo Dalot are Manchester United’s top passers, with 1 assist each.
Sunderland Preview
Sunderland has 11 points this season, with a 3-1-2 record, and are sitting in 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-1 home record and a 1-1-1 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 0-1 road win against Nottingham Forest, where they had 35% possession of the ball and 11 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 1.19 compared to Nottingham Forest’s 1.68.Sunderland is scoring 1.17 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.67 goals per game, which is 5th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard, Eliezer Mayenda Dossou, Omar Alderete, and Enzo Le Fée with 1 goal apiece. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Why Manchester United will win
· Manchester United has won 11 of its last 12 EPL home matches against promoted teams.· Manchester United has won 11 of its last 12 EPL matches against promoted teams at Old Trafford.
· The home team has won each of Manchester United’s last four EPL matches.
· Sunderland has lost six of its last seven EPL matches following a league win.
Why Sunderland will win
· Sunderland has won five of its last seven league Saturday matches as an underdog.· Sunderland has won four of its last six league Saturday day matches as an underdog.
· Manchester United has lost five of its last six EPL day matches as a home favorite.
· The underdog has won nine of Sunderland’s last 12 league matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Sunderland’s last 10 EPL away matches.· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL home matches against promoted teams.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches as an underdog.
Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction
Manchester United is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against Sunderland, and are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in Old Trafford. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings, and 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Old Trafford.In this Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction, Manchester United is coming as -205 home favorites. This line makes no sense, as United are huge favorites even though they have fewer points than their opponents. Sunderland has been undefeated in their last four games, while United has lost two of their last three. On top of that, Sunderland has the 5th-best defense in the Premier League, compared to United’s 14th. The value here lies with the road team, as I expect them to keep this one close, so take Sunderland by +1 goal in this one.