Nottingham Forest (1-2-3) vs Newcastle United (1-3-2)
October 5, 2025 at 09:00 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Newcastle -165 / Nottingham Forest +425 — Over/Under: 2.75
In this article, we will formulate a Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction for this English Premier League Week 7 matchup on Sunday, October 5th, at the St. James’ Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.
Newcastle United is scoring 0.67 goals per game, which ranks 19th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.83 goals per game, which is 6th. Nick Woltemade is Newcastle United’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Bruno Guimarães and Will Osula with 1 goal each. Sandro Tonali, Valentino Livramento, and Jacob Murphy are Newcastle United’s top passers, with 1 assist each.
Nottingham Forest is scoring 0.83 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.67 goals per game, which is 17th. Chris Wood is Nottingham Forest’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Neco Williams, Callum Hudson-Odoi, and Dan Ndoye with 1 goal each. Dan Ndoye, Elliot Anderson, and Morgan Gibbs-White are Nottingham Forest’s top passers, with 1 assist each.
· Newcastle United has won five of its last six EPL matches against Nottingham.
· Newcastle United has won each of its last three EPL matches against Nottingham.
· Newcastle United has won seven of its last eight EPL matches as a home favorite.
· Newcastle United has won seven of its last 10 EPL home matches.
· Newcastle United has won four of its last five EPL home matches following a league loss.
· Nottingham has lost three of its last four EPL matches.
· The favorite has won six of the last seven league matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Nottingham’s last 12 EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight league matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five EPL matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.
In this Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction, Newcastle is coming as -165 home favorites. I don’t trust Newcastle as such big favorites, as they have just one win in their six games played this season. Forest has been terrible this season, with five losses in their last seven games, so I don’t trust either side in this matchup. Both teams have been terrible offensively, as they rank on the bottom-4 of the Premier League in goals scored, with just 1.51 goals combined. Newcastle also has the 6th-best defense in the league, so I expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under 2.75 goals in this one.
Newcastle United Preview
Newcastle United has 6 points this season, with a 1-2-3 record, and are sitting in 15th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-2-0 home record and a 0-0-3 away record. Newcastle United is coming off a 1-2 home loss against Arsenal, where they had 37% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 70% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 0.61 compared to Arsenal’s 2.05.Newcastle United is scoring 0.67 goals per game, which ranks 19th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.83 goals per game, which is 6th. Nick Woltemade is Newcastle United’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Bruno Guimarães and Will Osula with 1 goal each. Sandro Tonali, Valentino Livramento, and Jacob Murphy are Newcastle United’s top passers, with 1 assist each.
Nottingham Forest Preview
Nottingham Forest has 5 points this season, with a 1-3-2 record, and are sitting in 17th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-2-0 home record and a 0-1-2 away record. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 0-1 home loss against Sunderland, where they had 65% possession of the ball and 22 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 90% completed passes, and higher expected goals, with 1.68 compared to Sunderland’s 1.19.Nottingham Forest is scoring 0.83 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.67 goals per game, which is 17th. Chris Wood is Nottingham Forest’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Neco Williams, Callum Hudson-Odoi, and Dan Ndoye with 1 goal each. Dan Ndoye, Elliot Anderson, and Morgan Gibbs-White are Nottingham Forest’s top passers, with 1 assist each.
Why Newcastle will win
· Newcastle United has won six of its last seven league matches against Nottingham.· Newcastle United has won five of its last six EPL matches against Nottingham.
· Newcastle United has won each of its last three EPL matches against Nottingham.
· Newcastle United has won seven of its last eight EPL matches as a home favorite.
· Newcastle United has won seven of its last 10 EPL home matches.
· Newcastle United has won four of its last five EPL home matches following a league loss.
· Nottingham has lost three of its last four EPL matches.
· The favorite has won six of the last seven league matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.
Why Nottingham Forest will win
· The away team has won four of the last five EPL matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Newcastle United’s last 13 EPL matches as a home favorite.· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Nottingham’s last 12 EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight league matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five EPL matches between Newcastle United and Nottingham.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle won both meetings against Nottingham Forest last season. At home by 4-3 and on the road by 3-1. Newcastle is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against Forest, and over is 11-1 in their last 12 meetings.In this Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction, Newcastle is coming as -165 home favorites. I don’t trust Newcastle as such big favorites, as they have just one win in their six games played this season. Forest has been terrible this season, with five losses in their last seven games, so I don’t trust either side in this matchup. Both teams have been terrible offensively, as they rank on the bottom-4 of the Premier League in goals scored, with just 1.51 goals combined. Newcastle also has the 6th-best defense in the league, so I expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under 2.75 goals in this one.