Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

3 months ago

Jul 30, 2025; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis City defender Timo Baumgartl (32) and Aston Villa defender Ian Maatsen (22) battle for the ball in the first half at Energizer Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Puetz-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Newcastle United Newcastle United	Aston Villa Aston Villa
Team Records	0-1-0	0-1-0
Where	Villa Park, Birmingham
When	Saturday, August 16, 2025
Time	07:30 AM EDT

In this article, we will formulate a Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction for this English Premier League game on Saturday, August 16^th, at the Villa Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa finished last season with 66 points and are were placed 6^th the Premier League standings. Aston Villa had a 19-10-9 record last season and had a 11-1-7 home record. In their final game of the regular season, they lost 0-2 on the road by Manchester United. Under was 4-0 in their last 4 games of the season.

Aston Villa averaged 1.53 goals per games, while they allowed 1.34 goals per game. Ollie Watkins was the top scorer for Aston Villa last season with 16 total goals, while Morgan Rogers followed with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers was also the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Newcastle Preview

Newcastle finished last season with 66 points and are were placed 5^th in the Premier League standings. Newcastle had a 20-12-6 record last season and had an 8-7-4 road record. In their final game of the regular season, they lost 0-1 at home by Everton, and finished the regular season with back-to-back losses. Under was 4-0 in their last 4 games of the season.

Newcastle averaged 1.79 goals per game last season, while they allowed 1.24 goals per game. Alexander Isak was the top scorer for Newcastle last season with 23 total goals, while Harvey Barnes followed with 9 goals. Jacob Murphy was the team’s top passer, with 11 assists made.

Why Aston Villa will win

Aston Villa has won each of its last seven EPL Saturday matches.
Aston Villa has won seven of its last eight EPL Saturday home matches.
Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL home matches.
Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL Saturday home matches against Newcastle United.
Aston Villa has won five of its last six EPL matches against Newcastle United at Villa Park.
The home team has won seven of the last eight EPL matches between Aston Villa and Newcastle United.
The favorite has won each of Aston Villa’s last five EPL matches at Villa Park.

Why Newcastle will win

Newcastle United has won four of its last six EPL Saturday day matches as an underdog.
Newcastle United has won each of its last three EPL Week 1 matches.
Newcastle United has won three of its last four EPL matches against Aston Villa.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of the last nine EPL day matches between Aston Villa and Newcastle United.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Aston Villa’s last four EPL matches.
The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL Saturday day matches at Villa Park.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last six EPL matches between Aston Villa and Newcastle United.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last 10 EPL Saturday matches.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Newcastle United’s last 10 EPL Saturday away matches.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Both teams were tied 1-1 wins last season, with each one winning at home. Villa won by 4-1 and Newcastle by 3-0. Both teams are a perfectly balanced 5-5-5 in their last 15 head-to-head meetings, but Aston Villa is 5-1 in their last 6 home meetings against Newcastle. Their last six meetings had gone over the total.

In this Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, Villa is coming as +125 home favorites. Both teams had the same number of points last season, but Villa was one of the strongest home teams in the Premier League, with 11 wins and only one loss at home. Villa is also dominating Newcastle at home in recent years, having lost only once in their last six home meetings, and they destroyed Newcastle at home last season by 4-1. There is huge value with the home team at a plus price in this matchup, so take Aston Villa to win at home at +125.