Newcastle United (0-1-1) vs Leeds United (1-0-1)
August 30, 2025 at 12:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Leeds United +240 / Newcastle +115 — Over/Under: 2.5
In this article, we will formulate a Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 3 matchup on Saturday, August 30th, at the Elland Road Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.
· Leeds has won seven of its last eight league matches.
· Leeds has won each of its last five league matches following a league loss.
· Leeds has won each of its last four league home matches.
· Leeds has won 18 of its last 21 league home matches.
· Newcastle United has won each of its last six EPL night matches as a favorite.
· Newcastle United has won eight of its last 10 EPL Saturday matches against promoted teams.
· The favorite has won each of Leeds’ last eight league matches.
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of Leeds’ last seven EPL matches as a home underdog.
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 13 of Leeds’ last 15 EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last 11 EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Newcastle United’s last 11 EPL Saturday matches.
In this Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction, Newcastle is coming as +115 road favorites. Newcastle is still winless in the league, but they had a tough schedule, facing Aston Villa and Liverpool. Leeds are coming off back-to-back losses, getting destroyed on the road by Arsenal with a 0-5 score and then getting eliminated in the English Cup by a team from a lower division. Newcastle has been dominating Leeds on the road, and they will have extra motivation for their first win in the Premier League. Take Newcastle on the moneyline for plus money in this one.
Leeds United Preview
Leeds United has 3 points this season, with a 1-1 record, and are tied with 6 more teams in the 7th place of the Premier League Standings. They are coming off a 1-2 road defeat by Sheffield Wednesday for the English Cup, where they had 80% possession of the ball and 25 total shots, with 7 shots on goal. They had 89% completed passes and more expected goals, with 2.90 compared to Sheffield Wednesday’s 0.16. They average 0.5 goal per game, while allowing 2.5 goals per game. Over is 2-1 in their last 3 matches.Newcastle Preview
Newcastle has one point this season, with a 0-1-1 record, and are tied with three more teams in the 15th place of the Premier League Standings. They are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by Liverpool, where they had 38% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, with three shots on goal. They had 69% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 0.98 compared to Liverpool’s 0.69. They average one goal per game, while allowing 1.5 goals per game.Why Leeds United will win
· Leeds has won nine of its last 10 league night matches.· Leeds has won seven of its last eight league matches.
· Leeds has won each of its last five league matches following a league loss.
· Leeds has won each of its last four league home matches.
· Leeds has won 18 of its last 21 league home matches.
Why Newcastle will win
· Newcastle United has won each of its last eight EPL matches against promoted teams.· Newcastle United has won each of its last six EPL night matches as a favorite.
· Newcastle United has won eight of its last 10 EPL Saturday matches against promoted teams.
· The favorite has won each of Leeds’ last eight league matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in five of Leeds’ last six league matches.· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of Leeds’ last seven EPL matches as a home underdog.
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 13 of Leeds’ last 15 EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last 11 EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Newcastle United’s last 11 EPL Saturday matches.
Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction
Both teams are a balanced 2-2-4 in their last 8 head-to-head meetings, but Newcastle is 5-1-2 in their last 8 visits in Leeds. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings in Leeds.In this Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction, Newcastle is coming as +115 road favorites. Newcastle is still winless in the league, but they had a tough schedule, facing Aston Villa and Liverpool. Leeds are coming off back-to-back losses, getting destroyed on the road by Arsenal with a 0-5 score and then getting eliminated in the English Cup by a team from a lower division. Newcastle has been dominating Leeds on the road, and they will have extra motivation for their first win in the Premier League. Take Newcastle on the moneyline for plus money in this one.