Manchester City (3-1-2) vs Brentford FC (2-1-3)
October 5, 2025 at 11:30 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Brentford +370 / Manchester City -155 — Over/Under: 3
In this article, we will formulate a Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction for this English Premier League Week 7 matchup on Sunday, October 5th, at the Gtech Community Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.
Brentford is scoring 1.50 goals per game, which ranks 10th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.83 goals per game, which is 15th. Igor Thiago is Brentford’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Mathias Jensen, Fabio Carvalho, Kevin Schade, Dango Aboubacar Faissal Ouattara, Mikkel Damsgaard, and Ethan Pinnock with 1 goal each. Jordan Henderson is Brentford’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Manchester City is scoring 2.33 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 8th. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 8 goals, followed by Tijani Reijnders, Ryan Cherki, Matheus Nunes, and Phil Foden with 1 goal each. Jeremy Doku is Manchester City’s top passer, with 3 assists.
· Brentford has won three of its last four EPL matches as a home underdog.
· The home team has won five of Brentford’s last six EPL matches.
· The home team has won three of Manchester City’s last four EPL matches.
· Manchester City has won nine of its last 12 EPL matches as a favorite.
· The favorite has won three of the last four EPL matches between Brentford and Manchester City.
· Brentford has lost four of its last five EPL day matches at Gtech Community Stadium following a league win.
· Brentford has lost seven of its last 10 EPL day matches following a league win.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Brentford’s last five EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last four EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last three EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Brentford’s last six EPL home matches.
In this Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction, Manchester City is coming as -155 home favorites. Brentford has been undefeated at home this season, with three wins and one draw across all competitions. They are also a balanced 2-2-1 in their last 5 home meetings against City, who has only one win in their three road games in the Premier League. City also had to play an extra mid-week game for the Champions League, where they had to travel to Monaco, so I expect tired legs in this one. Take Brentford by +0.5 goals in this one.
Brentford Preview
Brentford has 7 points this season, with a 2-3-1 record, and are sitting in 13th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-1 home record and a 0-3-0 away record. Brentford is coming off a 3-1 home win against Manchester United, where they had 44% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 76% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 1.99 compared to Manchester United’s 2.03.Brentford is scoring 1.50 goals per game, which ranks 10th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.83 goals per game, which is 15th. Igor Thiago is Brentford’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Mathias Jensen, Fabio Carvalho, Kevin Schade, Dango Aboubacar Faissal Ouattara, Mikkel Damsgaard, and Ethan Pinnock with 1 goal each. Jordan Henderson is Brentford’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Manchester City Preview
Manchester City has 10 points this season, with a 3-2-1 record, and are sitting in 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-1-0 home record and a 1-1-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 5-1 home win against Burnley, where they had 68% possession of the ball and 21 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 89% completed passes, and higher expected goals, with 2.03 compared to Burnley’s 0.41.Manchester City is scoring 2.33 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 8th. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 8 goals, followed by Tijani Reijnders, Ryan Cherki, Matheus Nunes, and Phil Foden with 1 goal each. Jeremy Doku is Manchester City’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Why Brentford will win
· Brentford has won each of its last three EPL day matches as a home underdog.· Brentford has won three of its last four EPL matches as a home underdog.
· The home team has won five of Brentford’s last six EPL matches.
· The home team has won three of Manchester City’s last four EPL matches.
Why Manchester City will win
· Manchester City has won three of its last four EPL matches against Brentford.· Manchester City has won nine of its last 12 EPL matches as a favorite.
· The favorite has won three of the last four EPL matches between Brentford and Manchester City.
· Brentford has lost four of its last five EPL day matches at Gtech Community Stadium following a league win.
· Brentford has lost seven of its last 10 EPL day matches following a league win.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Brentford’s last six EPL home matches.· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Brentford’s last five EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last four EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last three EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Brentford’s last six EPL home matches.
Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction
In their two meetings last season, City won 2-1 at home, while both teams had a 2-2 draw in Gtech Community Stadium. Manchester City is 3-0-1 in their last 4 meetings against Brentford, and over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.In this Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction, Manchester City is coming as -155 home favorites. Brentford has been undefeated at home this season, with three wins and one draw across all competitions. They are also a balanced 2-2-1 in their last 5 home meetings against City, who has only one win in their three road games in the Premier League. City also had to play an extra mid-week game for the Champions League, where they had to travel to Monaco, so I expect tired legs in this one. Take Brentford by +0.5 goals in this one.