| MATCHUP | Liverpool Liverpool | Sunderland Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 11-6-8 | 9-9-7 |
| Where | Stadium of Light, Sunderland | |
| When | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:15 PM EST | |
| TV | Universo | |
Sunderland Preview
Sunderland has 36 points this season, with a 9-7-9 record, and is sitting in 9th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 7-5-0 home record and a 2-2-9 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 0-3 loss against Arsenal on the road, where they had 51% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.19 compared to Arsenal’s 1.50.
Sunderland is scoring 1.08 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.16 goals per game, which is 6th. Brian Brobbey is Sunderland’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Wilson Isidor with 4 goals, Chemsdine Talbi and Enzo Le Fée with 3 goals each, Daniel Ballard and Nordi Mukiele with 2 goals each. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 5 assists.
Liverpool Preview
Liverpool has 39 points this season, with a 11-8-6 record, and is sitting in 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 7-3-2 home record and a 4-5-4 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 1-2 loss against Manchester City at home, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 78% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.21 compared to Manchester City’s 2.75.
Liverpool is scoring 1.60 goals per game, which ranks 8th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.40 goals per game, which is 10th. Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top scorer with 10 goals, followed by Cody Gakpo with 5 goals, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah and Ryan Gravenberch with 4 goals each. Mohamed Salah is Liverpool’s top passer, with 5 assists.
Why Sunderland will win
· Sunderland has won each of its last eight league matches following a league loss.
· Sunderland has won seven of its last eight league matches as an underdog following a league loss.
· Sunderland has won each of its last seven EPL matches following a league loss.
· Sunderland has won each of its last seven EPL home matches following a league loss.
· The home team has won each of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches.
Why Liverpool will win
· Liverpool has won each of its last seven EPL Week 26 matches.
· Liverpool has won seven of its last eight EPL Week 26 away matches.
· Liverpool has won six of its last seven EPL away matches against promoted teams.
· The favorite has won each of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Liverpool’s last eight EPL matches as an away favorite.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Sunderland’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Liverpool’s last 10 EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.
Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, both teams had a 1-1 draw in Liverpool’s home court but Liverpool has six wins and two draws in their 8 meetings before that.
In this Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction, Liverpool is coming as -140 road favorites. Sunderland has been incredibly strong at home, as they have been undefeated in their last 11 home games, but Liverpool is 3-2 in its last 5 games and has been dominating Sunderland historically, so i would rather not pick a side as there is value on the total. Both teams are a perfect 11-0 to the over in their last 11 games combined, so I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 2.5 goals in this one.

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