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Liverpool (5-0-1) vs Chelsea (2-2-2)
October 4, 2025 at 12:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Chelsea +180 / Liverpool +130 — Over/Under: 3
In this article, we will formulate a Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction for this English Premier League Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 4th, at the Stamford Bridge. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.
Chelsea is scoring 1.83 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.33 goals per game, which is 9th. Enzo Fernández is Chelsea’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by João Pedro with 2 goals, Trevoh Chalobah with 2 goals, Moisés Caicedo with 2 goals, Pedro Neto with 1 goal, and Cole Palmer with 1 goal. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Liverpool is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 1.17 goals per game, which is 7th. Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Mohamed Salah with 2 goals, Federico Chiesa with 2 goals, Ryan Gravenberch with 2 goals, Dominik Szoboszlai with 1 goal, Cody Gakpo with 1 goal, and Rio Ngumoha with 1 goal. Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo are Liverpool’s top passers, with 2 assists each.
· Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL home matches following a league loss.
· Chelsea has won nine of its last 12 EPL home matches.
· The home team has won each of the last three EPL matches between Chelsea and Liverpool.
· The home team has won 15 of Chelsea’s last 23 EPL matches.
· Liverpool has won five of its last six EPL matches.
· Liverpool has won five of its last six EPL Saturday away matches.
· Liverpool has won four of its last five EPL night matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Chelsea’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last three EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Liverpool’s last 11 EPL matches.
In this Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Liverpool is coming as +130 road favorites. Liverpool is coming off back-to-back losses both in Premier League and in the Champions League, and have also lost their last two road games. Chelsea has also been unstable this season and I don’t trust either team in this matchup. Both teams are a combined 6-1 to the over in their last 7 Premier League games, with both ranking among the top-7 squads offensively, scoring 3.83 goals per game combined. I like another high-scoring affair today, so take the over 3 in this one.
Chelsea Preview
Chelsea has 8 points this season, with a 2-2-2 record, and are sitting in 8th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-1 home record and a 1-1-1 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 1-3 home loss against Brighton, where they had 59% possession of the ball and 13 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 1.81 compared to Brighton’s 2.29.Chelsea is scoring 1.83 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.33 goals per game, which is 9th. Enzo Fernández is Chelsea’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by João Pedro with 2 goals, Trevoh Chalobah with 2 goals, Moisés Caicedo with 2 goals, Pedro Neto with 1 goal, and Cole Palmer with 1 goal. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Liverpool Preview
Liverpool has 15 points this season, with a 5-1-0 record, and are sitting in 1st place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-0-0 home record and a 2-0-1 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 1-2 road loss against Crystal Palace, where they had 72% possession of the ball and 20 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 89% completed passes, and lower expected goals, with 2.14 compared to Crystal Palace’s 2.92.Liverpool is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 1.17 goals per game, which is 7th. Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Mohamed Salah with 2 goals, Federico Chiesa with 2 goals, Ryan Gravenberch with 2 goals, Dominik Szoboszlai with 1 goal, Cody Gakpo with 1 goal, and Rio Ngumoha with 1 goal. Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo are Liverpool’s top passers, with 2 assists each.
Why Chelsea will win
· Chelsea has won each of its last six EPL night matches at Stamford Bridge following a league loss.· Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL home matches following a league loss.
· Chelsea has won nine of its last 12 EPL home matches.
· The home team has won each of the last three EPL matches between Chelsea and Liverpool.
· The home team has won 15 of Chelsea’s last 23 EPL matches.
Why Liverpool will win
· Liverpool has won 10 of its last 12 EPL Saturday matches.· Liverpool has won five of its last six EPL matches.
· Liverpool has won five of its last six EPL Saturday away matches.
· Liverpool has won four of its last five EPL night matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last three EPL matches between Chelsea and Liverpool.· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Chelsea’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last three EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Liverpool’s last 11 EPL matches.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction
Both teams were tied 1-1 wins last season, with each one winning at home. Chelsea won 3-1 and Liverpool 2-1. Liverpool is 5-1-6 in their last 12 overall meetings against Chelsea, and over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.In this Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Liverpool is coming as +130 road favorites. Liverpool is coming off back-to-back losses both in Premier League and in the Champions League, and have also lost their last two road games. Chelsea has also been unstable this season and I don’t trust either team in this matchup. Both teams are a combined 6-1 to the over in their last 7 Premier League games, with both ranking among the top-7 squads offensively, scoring 3.83 goals per game combined. I like another high-scoring affair today, so take the over 3 in this one.