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Liverpool (3-0-0) vs Burnley (1-0-2)
September 14, 2025 at 09:00 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Burnley +750 / Liverpool -300 — Over/Under: 3.5
In this article, we will formulate a Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction for this English Premier League Week 4 matchup on Sunday, September 14th, at the Turf Moo Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.
They have a 1-0 home record and a 0-2 road record this season, and they average 1.33 goals per game, while allowing 2.00 goals per game. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Josh Cullen (2 goals), and Lyle Foster (1 goal).
They have a 2-0 home record and a 1-0 road record this season, and they average 2.67 goals per game, while allowing 1.33 goals per game. Hugo Ekitike is the top scorer in the Liverpool squad with 2 goals, followed by Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Chiesa, Ngumoha, and Gravenberch with 1 goal each.
· Burnley has won each of its last five league home matches.
· The home team has won each of Burnley’s last four league matches.
· Liverpool has won each of its last six EPL away matches against Burnley.
· Liverpool has won each of its last five EPL matches against Burnley.
· Liverpool has won each of its last six EPL matches against Burnley at Turf Moor.
· The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last eight league matches.
· The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last six EPL matches.
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Liverpool’s last eight EPL matches.
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Burnley’s last six EPL home matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Burnley’s last eight league matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last five EPL Week 4 matches as an away favorite.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL away matches.
In this Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction, Chelsea is coming as -300 road favorites. Liverpool started the season red-hot and is the only undefeated team still in the Premier League. They have an elite offense, averaging 2.67 goals per game, and they are up against a struggling Burnley defense, that is allowing 2 goals per game this season. Liverpool has been dominating Burnley historically and has no trouble winning by multiple goals. Take Liverpool by -1.5 goals in this one.
Burnley Preview
Burnley has 3 points this season, with a 1-2-0 record, and are in 15th place in the Premier League standings. Burnley is coming off a 2-3 road loss against Manchester United, where they had 38% possession of the ball and 6 total shots, and 4 shots on goal. They had 71% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.20 compared to Manchester United’s 3.63.They have a 1-0 home record and a 0-2 road record this season, and they average 1.33 goals per game, while allowing 2.00 goals per game. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Josh Cullen (2 goals), and Lyle Foster (1 goal).
Liverpool Preview
Liverpool has 9 points this season, with a 3-0-0 record, and are in 1st place in the Premier League standings. Liverpool is coming off a 1-0 home win against Arsenal, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 9 total shots, with 3 on goal. They completed 85% of their passes and recorded slightly higher expected goals, posting 0.53 compared to Arsenal’s 0.49.They have a 2-0 home record and a 1-0 road record this season, and they average 2.67 goals per game, while allowing 1.33 goals per game. Hugo Ekitike is the top scorer in the Liverpool squad with 2 goals, followed by Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Chiesa, Ngumoha, and Gravenberch with 1 goal each.
Why Burnley will win
· Burnley has won nine of its last 10 league home matches.· Burnley has won each of its last five league home matches.
· The home team has won each of Burnley’s last four league matches.
Why Liverpool will win
· Liverpool has won each of its last 11 EPL matches against promoted teams.· Liverpool has won each of its last six EPL away matches against Burnley.
· Liverpool has won each of its last five EPL matches against Burnley.
· Liverpool has won each of its last six EPL matches against Burnley at Turf Moor.
· The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last eight league matches.
· The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last six EPL matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in nine of Burnley’s last 10 league matches as an underdog.· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Liverpool’s last eight EPL matches.
· The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Burnley’s last six EPL home matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Burnley’s last eight league matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last five EPL Week 4 matches as an away favorite.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL away matches.
Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction
Liverpool is 10-1-2 in their last 13 overall meetings against Burnley, and have won by 2+ goals in seven of their last eight wins. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.In this Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction, Chelsea is coming as -300 road favorites. Liverpool started the season red-hot and is the only undefeated team still in the Premier League. They have an elite offense, averaging 2.67 goals per game, and they are up against a struggling Burnley defense, that is allowing 2 goals per game this season. Liverpool has been dominating Burnley historically and has no trouble winning by multiple goals. Take Liverpool by -1.5 goals in this one.