| MATCHUP | Liverpool Liverpool | Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-7-9 | 10-10-10 |
| Where | American Express Stadium, Falmer | |
| When | Saturday, March 21, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 AM EDT | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Brighton Preview
Brighton has 40 points this season, with a 10-10-10 record, and are sitting in 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 6-6-2 home record and a 4-4-8 away record. Brighton is coming off a 1-0 win against Sunderland on the road, where they had 52% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.68 compared to Sunderland’s 0.89.Brighton is scoring 1.30 goals per game, which ranks 16th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.20 goals per game, which is 6th. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 10 goals, followed by Diego Gómez with 5 goals and Jan Paul van Hecke with 4 goals. Yankuba Minteh is Brighton’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Liverpool Preview
Liverpool has 49 points this season, with a 14-9-7 record, and are sitting in 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 8-3-3 home record and a 6-6-4 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 1-1 draw against Tottenham at home, where they had 63% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.70 compared to Tottenham’s 1.18.
Liverpool is scoring 1.63 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.33 goals per game, which is 10th. Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top scorer with 11 goals, followed by Cody Gakpo with 6 goals and Dominik Szoboszlai with 5 goals. Mohamed Salah is Liverpool’s top passer, with 6 assists.
Why Brighton will win
· Brighton has won each of its last three EPL Saturday day matches as a home underdog.
· Brighton has won three of its last four EPL day matches as a home underdog.
· Liverpool has lost four of its last six EPL Saturday matches as an away favorite.
· The home team has won each of the last four EPL matches between Brighton and Liverpool.
· The home team has won five of the last six EPL matches between Brighton and Liverpool.
Why Liverpool will win
· Liverpool has won four of its last five EPL Saturday day away matches.
· Liverpool has won each of its last three EPL day matches against Brighton.
· Liverpool has won three of its last four EPL Saturday day matches.
· Liverpool has won five of its last seven EPL Saturday matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Brighton’s last eight EPL home matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Brighton’s last seven EPL matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last three EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last three EPL Saturday matches as a favorite.
Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction
Liverpool has won both previous meetings against Brighton this season, both at home by 3-0 and 2-0. Liverpool is 5-1 in its last 6 meetings against Brighton and the over is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction, Liverpool is coming as +125 road favorites. Liverpool has been the better team this season but has won only two of its last four games and also had an extra mid-week game for the Champions League. On the flip side, Brighton is 3-1 in its last 4 games and has lost only twice in its last eight home games, so I don’t expect them to lose today. Take Brighton by +0.5 goals in this one.