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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction 5/15/2026 Today’s EPL Picks

Jul 30, 2025; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis City defender Devin Padelford (2) defends against Aston Villa midfielder Leon Bailey (31) in the first half at Energizer Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Puetz-Imagn Images

Jul 30, 2025; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis City defender Devin Padelford (2) defends against Aston Villa midfielder Leon Bailey (31) in the first half at Energizer Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Puetz-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Liverpool Liverpool Aston Villa Aston Villa
Team Records 17-8-11 17-8-11
Where Villa Park, Birmingham
When Friday, May 15, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EDT
TV Peacock
In this article, we will formulate a Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction for this English Premier League Week 37 matchup on Friday, May 15th at the Villa Park Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Aston Villa Preview


Aston Villa has 59 points this season, with a 17-11-8 record, and sits in 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 11-5-2 home record and a 6-6-6 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 2-2 draw against Burnley on the road, where they had 67% possession of the ball and 18 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 86% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.44 compared to Burnley’s 1.79.

Aston Villa is scoring 1.39 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.28 goals per game, which is 8th. Ollie Watkins is Aston Villa’s top scorer with 12 goals, followed by Morgan Rogers with 9 goals and Emi Buendía with 6 goals. Lucas Digne is Aston Villa’s top passer, with 6 assists.

Liverpool Preview


Liverpool has 59 points this season, with a 17-11-8 record, and sits in 4th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 10-5-3 home record and a 7-6-5 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 1-1 draw against Chelsea at home, where they had 48% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 0.55 compared to Chelsea’s 0.49.

Liverpool is scoring 1.67 goals per game, which ranks 6th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.33 goals per game, which is 9th. Hugo Ekitike is Liverpool’s top scorer with 11 goals, followed by Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo with 7 goals each and Dominik Szoboszlai with 6 goals. Mohamed Salah is Liverpool’s top passer, with 6 assists.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction


In their previous meeting earlier this season, Liverpool won 2-0 at home and has seven wins and three draws in its last 10 meetings against Aston Villa. Their last ten meetings in Villa Park have gone over the total.

In this Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction, Liverpool is coming as +115 road favorites. With only two games weeks left to play, both teams need wins in order to maintain their top-5 positions that lead to next season’s Champions League. Villa plays at home but has lost three of its last five games but are facing a Liverpool squad that has been struggling mightily on the road, with a 1-5 record in its last 6 road games. The last two meetings between those two teams in Villa Park had been draws and with both teams playing with incentive, perhaps another draw is imminent, so this favors the home dog in this matchup. Take Aston Villa by +0.5 goals at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Aston Villa +0.5

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