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Leeds United vs Sunderland Prediction 12/28/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

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[Subscription Customers Only] Jul 4, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; General view during a minutes silence in tribute to Liverpool forward Diogo Jota and his brother Andre Silva before a quarterfinal match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Susana Vera-Reuters via Imagn Images

MATCHUP Leeds United Leeds United Sunderland Sunderland
Team Records 5-4-8 7-6-4
Where Stadium of Light, Sunderland
When Sunday, December 28, 2025
Time 09:00 AM EST
TV USA Net
In this article, we will formulate an Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction for this English Premier League Week 18 matchup on Sunday, December 28th, at the Stadium of Light. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Sunderland Preview


Sunderland has 27 points this season, with a 7-4-6 record, and are sitting in 6th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-0-3 home record and a 2-4-3 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 0-0 draw against Brighton on the road, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 76% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.39 compared to Brighton’s 1.12.

Sunderland is scoring 1.12 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 4th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard, Chemsdine Talbi, Enzo Le Fée, Nordi Mukiele and Brian Brobbey with 2 goals each and Eliezer Mayenda Dossou and Granit Xhaka with 1 goal each. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 4 assists.

Leeds United Preview


Leeds United has 19 points this season, with a 5-8-4 record, and are sitting in 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-2-2 home record and a 1-6-2 away record. Leeds United is coming off a 4-1 win against Crystal Palace at home, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 20 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.68 compared to Crystal Palace’s 1.57.

Leeds United is scoring 1.41 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.82 goals per game, which is 19th. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Leeds United’s top scorer with 7 goals, followed by Lukas Nmecha with 4 goals, Anton Stach with 3 goals, Joe Rodon, Ao Tanaka and Noah Okafor with 2 goals each and Gabriel Gudmundsson and Ethan Ampadu with 1 goal each. Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson and Jayden Bogle are Leeds United’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Why Sunderland will win


·        Sunderland has won five of its last six league day matches as a home underdog.

·        Sunderland has won four of its last five EPL day matches as a home underdog.

·        Sunderland has won three of its last four league Sunday home matches.

·        Sunderland has won three of its last four league Sunday matches at Stadium of Light.

·        Sunderland has won three of its last four league Sunday day home matches.

·        The home team has won four of Sunderland’s last six EPL matches.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last six EPL away matches following a league win.

·        Leeds has lost three of its last four EPL matches as an away favorite.

Why Leeds United will win


·        Sunderland has lost each of its last three EPL Week 18 matches.

Total Points Facts


·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Leeds’ last 10 EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Leeds’ last nine EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Leeds’ last five EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Leeds’ last five EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Leeds’ last 12 EPL matches as an away underdog.

Leeds United vs Sunderland Prediction


Both teams are a perfectly balanced 2-2-3 in their last 7 meetings and the under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Leeds United vs Sunderland Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Sunderland is playing at home where they have 5 of their 7 wins this season and have 8 more points than Leeds this season. Leeds has been atrocious on the road, with just one win in 9 road games and have a terrible defense, being the second-worst defensive team in the Premier League, while on the flip side, Sunderland has the 4th-best defense. I expect the hosts to not lose today, so take Sunderland PK (Draw no Bet) in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Sunderland PK

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