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Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction 5/1/2026 Today’s EPL Picks

Mike Davis (left) and David Austin (right) watch a Manchester United FC game viewing at Fred's Around the Corner at 421 Union Ave in downtown Knoxville on Jan. 7, 2025.

Mike Davis (left) and David Austin (right) watch a Manchester United FC game viewing at Fred's Around the Corner at 421 Union Ave in downtown Knoxville on Jan. 7, 2025.

MATCHUP Burnley Burnley Leeds United Leeds United
Team Records 4-8-22 9-13-12
Where Elland Road, Leeds
When Friday, May 1, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EDT
TV USA Net
In this article, we will formulate a Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 35 matchup on Friday, May 1st, at the Elland Road Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Leeds United Preview


Leeds United has 40 points this season, with a 9-12-13 record, and is sitting in 15th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 7-5-5 home record and a 2-7-8 away record. Leeds United is coming off a 2-2 draw against Bournemouth on the road, where they had 40% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 75% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.81 compared to Bournemouth’s 1.65.

Leeds United is scoring 1.27 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.48 goals per game, which is 15th. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Leeds United’s top scorer with 11 goals, followed by Noah Okafor with 7 goals and Lukas Nmecha with 6 goals. Brenden Aaronson is Leeds United’s top passer, with 5 assists.

Burnley Preview


Burnley has 20 points this season, with a 4-22-9 record, and is sitting in 19th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-5-10 home record and a 2-6-12 away record. Burnley is coming off a 0-1 loss against Manchester City at home, where they had 35% possession of the ball and 9 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.63 compared to Manchester City’s 3.36.

Burnley is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 20th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.00 goals per game, which is 20th. Zian Flemming is Burnley’s top scorer with 9 goals, followed by Jaidon Anthony with 7 goals and Lyle Foster with 3 goals. Quilindschy Hartman is Burnley’s top passer, with 5 assists.

Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction


In their previous meeting earlier this season, Burnley won 2-0 at home and both teams are a perfectly balanced 4-4-2 in their last 10 meetings. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.  

In this Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction, Leeds is coming as -280 home favorites. Burnley has been mathematically relegated and Leeds is six points above the relegation zone and still not out of the woods. They have been playing good ball lately as they are undefeated in seven of their last eight games, having won four of them, while on the flip side, Burnley has lost six of its last seven, four of them by more than one goal. I like Leeds to take care of business at home in a comfortable fashion by more than one goal in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Leeds United -1.5

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