| MATCHUP | Burnley Burnley | Brentford FC Brentford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1-8 | 5-1-6 |
| Where | Gtech Community Stadium, London | |
| When | Saturday, November 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 AM EST | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Brentford Preview
Brentford has 16 points this season, with a 5-6-1 record, and are sitting on the 13th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-1 home record and a 1-5-0 away record. Brentford is coming off a 2-1 road defeat to Brighton, where they had 36% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 75% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.90 compared to Brighton’s 1.22.
Brentford is scoring 1.50 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.58 goals per game, which is 14th. Igor Thiago is Brentford’s top scorer with 9 goals, followed by Kevin Schade with three goals and Mathias Jensen and Dango Aboubacar Faissal Ouattara with two goals apiece. Jordan Henderson is Brentford’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Burnley Preview
Burnley has 10 points this season, with a 3-8-1 record, and are sitting on the 19th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-2-2 home record and a 1-6-0 away record. Burnley is coming off a 2-0 home defeat to Chelsea, where they had 44% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.44 compared to Chelsea’s 1.71.
Burnley is scoring 1.17 goals per game, which ranks 19th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.08 goals per game, which is 19th. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Josh Cullen and Zian Flemming with three goals apiece and Maxime Esteve, Lyle Foster and Chimuanya Ugochukwu with two goals apiece. Quilindschy Hartman is Burnley’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Brentford will win
· Brentford has won each of its last 10 EPL home matches against promoted teams.
· Brentford has won each of its last 10 EPL matches as a home favorite against promoted teams.
· Brentford has won eight of its last nine EPL matches against promoted teams.
· Brentford has won four of its last five EPL Saturday home matches.
· The home team has won nine of Brentford’s last 12 EPL matches.
· Burnley has lost each of its last five EPL Saturday away matches.
· Burnley has lost six of its last seven EPL away matches.
· Burnley has lost each of its last five EPL Saturday away matches.
Why Burnley will win
· Brentford has lost three of its last four EPL day matches as a home favorite.
· Brentford has lost four of its last six EPL matches as a home favorite.
· The underdog has won three of Brentford’s last four EPL matches at Gtech Community Stadium.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last eight league away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Burnley’s last nine EPL matches as an away underdog.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Brentford’s last five EPL home matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Burnley’s last five EPL matches as an away underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Brentford’s last five EPL home matches.
· The ‘Over 4.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Burnley’s last five EPL away matches.
Burnley vs Brentford Prediction
Both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings and are also a balanced 4-4 in their last 8 meetings in Gtech Community Stadium. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Gtech Community Stadium.
In this Burnley vs Brentford Prediction, Brentford is coming as big -196 home favorites. Brentford has been the better team this season, with 6 points more than Burnley and have been excellent at home lately, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 home games. On the flip side, Burnley has been terrible on the road with 6 losses in 7 road games and are second to last in the Premier League both offensively and defensively. I anticipate a comfortable win for the home side, so take Brentford by -1.5 goals in this one.