| MATCHUP | Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion | Aston Villa Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-10-8 | 14-5-6 |
| Where | Villa Park, Birmingham | |
| When | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:30 PM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 47 points this season, with a 14-6-5 record, and is sitting in 3rd place in the Premier League standings. They have an 8-1-3 home record and a 6-5-2 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth on the road, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.44 compared to Bournemouth’s 2.06.
Aston Villa is scoring 1.44 goals per game, which ranks 12th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.08 goals per game, which is 3rd. Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers are Aston Villa’s top scorers with 8 goals each, followed by Emi Buendía with 5 goals, Donyell Malen with 4 goals, Matty Cash and John McGinn with 3 goals each. Morgan Rogers is Aston Villa’s top passer, with 5 assists.
Brighton Preview
Brighton has 31 points this season, with a 7-8-10 record, and is sitting in 14th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-6-1 home record and a 2-2-9 away record. Brighton is coming off a 0-1 loss against Crystal Palace at home, where they had 64% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.74 compared to Crystal Palace’s 1.16.
Brighton is scoring 1.36 goals per game, which ranks 15th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.32 goals per game, which is 11th. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 8 goals, followed by Jan Paul van Hecke with 4 goals, Georginio Rutter, Yasin Ayari and Diego Gómez with 3 goals each, Kaoru Mitoma, Maxim De Cuyper and Charalampos Kostoulas with 2 goals each. Yankuba Minteh is Brighton’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Aston Villa will win
· Aston Villa has won eight of its last 10 EPL home matches.
· Aston Villa has won 14 of its last 20 EPL matches.
· Aston Villa has won seven of its last nine EPL matches against Brighton.
· Brighton has lost three of its last four EPL Wednesday matches.
· Brighton has lost three of its last four EPL Wednesday night matches.
Why Brighton will win
· Brighton has won four of its last six EPL matches as an underdog following a league loss.
· The underdog has won three of Aston Villa’s last four EPL matches.
· The away team has won three of Aston Villa’s last four EPL matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of the last seven EPL matches between Aston Villa and Brighton.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Brighton’s last six EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Brighton’s last 16 EPL matches as an away underdog.
Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, Aston Villa won 3-4 on the road and are 7-1-1 in their last 9 meetings against Brighton.
In this Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as -110 home favorites. Aston Villa has been the better team this season and have been very strong at home. They haven’t won in their last two games and are facing a struggling Brighton team that has been winless in its last four games. I see no value on either side and both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games combined, so I’m going with the under in this one.