| MATCHUP | Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion | Arsenal FC Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-6-5 | 12-3-2 |
| Where | Emirates Stadium, London | |
| When | Saturday, December 27, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 AM EST | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Arsenal Preview
Arsenal has 39 points this season, with a 12-2-3 record, and are sitting in 1st place in the Premier League standings. They have a 7-0-1 home record and a 5-2-2 away record. Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 win against Everton on the road, where they had 65% possession of the ball and 13 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.01 compared to Everton’s 0.20.
Arsenal is scoring 1.82 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.59 goals per game, which is 1st. Viktor Gyökeres is Arsenal’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Eberechi Eze, Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard with 4 goals each, Mikel Merino with 3 goals and Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice and Jurriën Timber with 2 goals each. Leandro Trossard, Mikel Merino and Declan Rice are Arsenal’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
Brighton Preview
Brighton has 24 points this season, with a 6-5-6 record, and are sitting in 9th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-4 home record and a 2-4-2 away record. Brighton is coming off a 0-0 draw against Sunderland at home, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.12 compared to Sunderland’s 1.39.
Brighton is scoring 1.47 goals per game, which ranks 9th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.35 goals per game, which is 13th. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 7 goals, followed by Jan Paul van Hecke with 4 goals, Maxim De Cuyper and Diego Gómez with 2 goals each and Bart Verbruggen, Georginio Rutter, Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma with 1 goal each. Yankuba Minteh is Brighton’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Arsenal will win
· Arsenal has won eight of its last nine EPL home matches.
· Arsenal has won each of its last five EPL home matches.
· Arsenal has won eight of its last nine EPL matches as a home favorite.
· Arsenal has won each of its last five EPL matches as a home favorite.
· Arsenal has won nine of its last 12 EPL matches.
· The favorite has won each of Arsenal’s last five EPL matches at Emirates Stadium.
· Brighton has lost three of its last four EPL Saturday away matches.
· Brighton has lost three of its last four EPL Week 18 away matches.
· Brighton has lost nine of its last 13 EPL away matches following a league draw.
Why Brighton will win
· Brighton has won four of its last six EPL Saturday day matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Brighton’s last 13 EPL matches as an away underdog.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Brighton’s last five EPL matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last three EPL matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last three EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 22 of Brighton’s last 32 EPL matches.
Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal is just 4-3-3 in its last 10 meetings against Brighton and both teams are 4-4-2 in their last 10 meetings in Emirates Stadium. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction, Arsenal is coming as -250 home favorites. Arsenal has been the far better team this season as they have 15 more points than Brighton and twice as many wins. They are also coming into this matchup in good form, as they have won their last four games, while on the other hand, Brighton has two losses and two draws in its last four. Arsenal has been dominating at home court and undefeated throughout this season and have the second-best offense and the best defense in the Premier League, winning by an average of 1.23 goals per game. I expect an easy one for the home team, so take Arsenal by -1.5 goals in this one.