| MATCHUP | Vanderbilt Commodores | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-4 | 6-1 |
| Spread | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +340 | -440 |
| Total | Over 52.5 (-105) | Under 52.5 (-115) |
| Where | Kroger Field, Lexington, KY | |
| When | Saturday, October 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | SEC Network | |
In this article, we will formulate a Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction for this College Football Week 8 matchup on Saturday, October 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Kentucky Wildcats Preview
Kentucky has a 6-1 record and a 4-1 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 21-13 road win against Oklahoma and will face Tennessee and Florida next.
Offensively, Kentucky averages 32.7 points per game, ranking 46th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.9 points per game, which is 93rd. Kentucky averages 387.9 total yards per game (221.7 passing and 166.1 rushing), while allowing 377.0 total yards per game (127.3 rushing and 249.7 passing).
Kenny Minchey leads Kentucky with 1,552 passing yards with 68.4% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. CJ Baxter leads the team in rushing yards with 484, while Kenny Darby has a team-high 436 receiving yards and 34 receptions. Defensively, Grant Godfrey has a team-high 67 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Mi’Quise Humphrey-Grace leads the team with 4 sacks.
Vanderbilt Commodores Preview
Vanderbilt has a 3-4 record and a 0-4 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 21-31 home loss against Arkansas and will face Mississippi State and Alabama next.
Offensively, Vanderbilt averages 23.6 points per game, ranking 98th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.7 points per game, which is 115th. Vanderbilt averages 354.3 total yards per game (235.1 passing and 119.1 rushing), while allowing 365.6 total yards per game (146.3 rushing and 219.3 passing).
Jared Curtis leads Vanderbilt with 1,242 passing yards with 62.7% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Sedrick Alexander leads the team in rushing yards with 270, while Junior Sherrill has a team-high 628 receiving yards and 41 receptions. Defensively, CJ Heard has a team-high 52 total tackles (37 of them solo), while Nicholas Rinaldi leads the team with 3.5 sacks.
Vanderbilt Commodores @ Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends: Week 8
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has lost nine of its last 10 road games in October.
- Kentucky has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Kentucky has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games as a home favorite.
- Kentucky has won the first half in each of its last six home games.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Kentucky has lost each of its last five October games as a favorite.
- The underdog has won four of Kentucky’s last five games.
- Vanderbilt has covered the spread in 11 of its last 12 games as a road underdog.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against teams from Tennessee.
- The road team has won the first quarter in four of the last five games between Vanderbilt and Kentucky.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in each of its last five games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Vanderbilt’s last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Kentucky’s last four home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Kentucky Wildcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Jordan Castell ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.
Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts
- Junior Sherrill has recorded 50+ receiving yards in 12 consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 8.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky has played in the highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).
- Kentucky ranks T2nd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (11).
- Vanderbilt ranks 135th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.9).
- Vanderbilt ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (12.3).
Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction
In this Vanderbilt vs Kentucky prediction, Kentucky is coming as -10.5 home favorites. Kentucky has been almost perfect this season and has won and covered its last five games, while being better both offensively and defensively than Vanderbilt. Vandy has been on a free fall with four straight wins and 0-2 ATS and have lost both of their road games this season, having scored just 14 and 15 points in those games. Kentucky has been dominating this matchup with a 7-3 record in their last 10 head-to-head meetings against Vandy, so take Kentucky and lay the -10.5 points at home.

