| MATCHUP | UL Monroe Warhawks | Troy Trojans |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-6 | 3-3 |
| Spread | +13.5 -105 | -13.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +470 | -650 |
| Total | Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110) |
| Where | Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL | |
| When | Saturday, October 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article we will formulate a ULM vs Troy prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 24th at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.
ULM Warhawks Betting Preview
The ULM Warhawks are 0-6 (0-2) this season after they lost to Louisiana Tech by a score of 24-0 in their last game. ULM was tied 0-0 at halftime, but they allowed 14 points in the third quarter and 10 points in the fourth for the ugly loss. The Warhawks were out gained by a total of 340-228, went 2-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Aidan Armenta threw for 119 yards and two interceptions, while JP Coulter caught four passes for 42 yards. Armenta also led the rushing attack with six carries for 25 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, ULM lost to South Alabama by a score of 52-35 and FAU by a score of 45-17. The Warhawks have scored 20.0 points per game with 222.0 passing yards and 120.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 41.2 points against per game this season. Aidan Armenta has thrown for 974 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions this season.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans are 3-3 (1-1) this year after they lost to ULL by a score of 33-6 in their last game. Troy trailed 19-0 at halftime and they scored just six points in the second half in the loss. The Trojans were out gained by a total of 351-267, went 3-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Tucker Kilcrease threw for 76 yards, while Jace Petty caught four passes for 69 yards. Jordan Lovett rushed 10 times for 50 yards in the game.
Prior to that loss, Troy defeated Southern Miss by a score of 55-34, but lost to Utah State by a score of 21-10 before that. The Trojans have scored 24.3 points per game with 198.0 passing yards and 204.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.5 points against per game this season. Goose Crowder is the starting quarterback, but he is injured and may not play, which would leave the QB duties to Tucker Kilcrease.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 14 games.
- Troy has won each of its last 10 October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 24 of its last 27 road games against conference opponents.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- The road team has won three of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Louisiana-Monroe and Troy.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in Alabama.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Troy’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 10 October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, TK Keyes leads the Sun Belt Conference for yards per reception (21.7) this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Marcellus Jackson leads Louisiana-Monroe for receptions (32) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks 130th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-4.8).
- Troy ranks 9th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (68.2).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (483.2).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (229.7).
ULM vs Troy Prediction
ULM comes into this matchup searching for their first win of the season, but they have lost their last three games by a combined 69 points. The Warhawks have allowed 38+ points in three of their last four games, while they have scored 20 or fewer in three of five. Troy has dropped three of their last four games and they have scored 17 points or fewer in all three of those losses. I know ULM has been bad, but Troy has also struggled and is expected to be without their QB. Take the points with ULM here.