| MATCHUP | UConn Huskies | Air Force Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Spread | +1.5 -120 | -1.5 100 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110) |
| Where | Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO | |
| When | Saturday, October 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | MW+ | |
UConn vs Air Force Prediction
UConn is probably the more talented team in this spot, and it makes the points worth a look. The problem is the juice isn’t worth the squeeze. Air Force and the small number is where I want to be. Air Force is second in rushing offense, and it’s tough to prepare for this style of offense with just one week.
UConn has been solid at stopping the run this season, but it’s 105th in total defense, so there are holes you can expose with these Huskies. It’s also a bounce-back spot for Air Force after an ugly loss to Wyoming as a near touchdown favorite. Soft line, I’m going to ride with Air Force on Saturday afternoon.
UConn Huskies Betting Preview
The UConn Huskies beat Temple and UMass, and they play North Carolina next. The UConn Huskies have split their last 6 games. Kalieb Osborne is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 1,594 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Shamar Porter and JD Willoughby have combined for 525 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Ryder Treadway has 16 receptions.
The UConn Huskies’ ground game is averaging 203 yards per contest, and Cyncir Bowers leads the way with 564 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, UConn is allowing 23.9 points and 392.6 yards per game. Hayden Pegg leads the UConn Huskies with 47 tackles, K’Von Sherman has 3.5 sacks, and Braedyn Moore has 1 interception.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons beat UNLV, lost to Wyoming, and they will play Army next. The Air Force Falcons have won 5 of their last 7 games. Liam Szarka is completing 50 percent of his passes for 296 yards, 1 touchdown, and 4 interceptions. Simon Kibbee and Matt Long have combined for 245 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Adam Hrynciw has 5 receptions.
The Air Force Falcons’ ground game is averaging 337.4 yards per contest, and Evan Medders leads the way with 490 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 20.9 points and 296.4 yards per game. Blake Fletcher leads the Air Force Falcons with 72 tackles, Max Mustell has 3 sacks, and Max Mustell has 1 interception.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Air Force has won 25 of its last 28 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
- The favorite has covered the spread in five of Air Force’s last six games at Falcon Stadium.
- Air Force has won the first half in 12 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
- Air Force has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- Air Force has lost four of its last five games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
- Connecticut has covered the spread in each of its last five games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Connecticut has won the first quarter in five of its last six games in October.
- Air Force has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Air Force’s last 12 games against opponents from the FBS Independents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Connecticut’s last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.
Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Liam Szarka leads Air Force for touchdowns (7) this season.
Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Ryder Treadway leads Connecticut for receptions (16) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Air Force ranks 138th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (67.6).
- Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (36:34).
- Connecticut ranks 136th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (284.7).
- Connecticut ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.0).