| MATCHUP | Texas State Bobcats | Boise State Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-3 | 6-1 |
| Spread | +10.5 -105 | -10.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +330 | -425 |
| Total | Over 63.5 (-115) | Under 63.5 (-105) |
| Where | Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID | |
| When | Saturday, October 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CW | |
Texas State vs Boise State Prediction
Boise State comes into this matchup on a lengthy winning streak and they have scored at least 31 points in five straight. Texas State has won four of their last five games and they have scored at least 29 in four of those five. The Bobcats did have some trouble offensively last week, but they were able to escape with the win. I like both offenses in this game, but I think Boise State’s defense will be the difference. Take the Broncos to cover at home here.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats are 4-3 (2-1) this season after they defeated Utah State by a score of 20-17 in their last game. Texas State trailed 9-7 at halftime, but they scored 13 points in the second half and won on a missed field goal as time expired. The Bobcats were out gained by a total of 285-250, went 10-18 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Brad Jackson threw for 167 yards, while Chris Dawn Jr caught seven passes for 48 yards. Torrance Burgess Jr rushed 10 times for 51 yards in the game.
Prior to that win, Texas State defeated Colorado State by a score of 66-27, but lost to San Diego State by a score of 31-29 before that. The Bobcats have scored 37.1 points per game with 245.7 passing yards and 272.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 30.0 points against per game this season. Brad Jackson has thrown for 1,606 yards with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions this season.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos are 6-1 (3-0) this year after they defeated Washington State by a score of 31-10 in their last game. Boise State led 10-7 at halftime, but they were tied 10-10 in the fourth, before scoring the last 21 points for the win. The Broncos out gained Washington State by a total of 407-244, went 7-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Maddux Madsen threw for 149 yards and one touchdown, while Rasean Jones caught five passes for 69 yards. Dylan Riley rushed 13 times for 128 yards and two scores in the game.
Prior to that win, Boise State defeated Fresno State by a score of 38-31 and Utah State by a score of 37-18. The Broncos have scored 34.4 points per game with 206.4 passing yards and 237.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.6 points against per game this season. Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,445 yards with 14 touchdowns and zero interceptions this year.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 22 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Albertsons Stadium.
- Texas State has lost each of its last 10 October games as a road underdog.
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
- Boise State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in October.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last six games as an AP-ranked team at Albertsons Stadium.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last 15 October games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Boise State’s last eight home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of Texas State’s last 12 October games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Dylan Riley ranks 1st amongst FBS players for rushing yards (963) this season.
Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Torrance Burgess Jr. ranks 4th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (889) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (35:37).
- Boise State is one of four FBS teams to score 25+ points in every game this season.
- Texas State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.4).
- Texas State ranks 137th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (285.1).