| MATCHUP | San José State Spartans | UTEP Miners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| Spread | -7 -102 | +7 -118 |
| Moneyline | -270 | +220 |
| Total | Over 45.5 (-108) | Under 45.5 (-112) |
| Where | Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX | |
| When | Saturday, October 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | MW+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a San Jose State vs UTEP Prediction for this College Football Week 7 matchup on Saturday, October 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
UTEP Miners Preview
UTEP has a 1-5 record and a 0-2 record in the MWC. They are coming off a 13-30 home loss against Nevada and will face North Dakota State and Hawaii next.
Offensively, UTEP averages 15.8 points per game, ranking 133rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 39.5 points per game, which is 135th. UTEP averages 257 total yards per game (130.2 passing and 126.8 rushing), while allowing 393.7 total yards per game (186.8 rushing and 206.8 passing).
EJ Colson leads UTEP with 541 passing yards with 63.6% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Raymond Moore III leads the team in rushing yards with 359, while Carver Cheeks has a team-high 179 receiving yards and 16 receptions. Defensively, Isaiah Bogerty has a team-high 39 total tackles (9 of them solo), while Sterling Miles leads the team with 2.5 sacks.
San Jose State Spartans Preview
San Jose State has a 3-3 record and a 1-1 record in the MWC. They are coming off a 13-16 home loss against Wyoming and will face Nevada and New Mexico next.
Offensively, San Jose State averages 21 points per game, ranking 114th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.5 points per game, which is 71st. San Jose State averages 377.8 total yards per game (254.8 passing and 123 rushing), while allowing 375.5 total yards per game (141.3 rushing and 234.2 passing).
Luke Weaver leads San Jose State with 1,529 passing yards with 63.2% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jabari Bates leads the team in rushing yards with 556, while Carson Clark has a team-high 405 receiving yards and 37 receptions. Defensively, Dylan Lee has a team-high 53 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Ethan Powell leads the team with 2.5 sacks.
San Jose State Spartans @ UTEP Miners Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the UTEP Miners will win
- San Jose State has lost three of its last four games as a favorite.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of San Jose State’s last six games.
- San Jose State has lost the first half in each of its last three games against teams from Texas.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- UTEP has lost each of its last 13 games as an underdog.
- The favorite has won each of UTEP’s last seven games.
- UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 11 games as an underdog.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of San Jose State’s last seven games.
- UTEP has lost the first half in each of its last 15 games as an underdog.
- The road team has won the first quarter in three of UTEP’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of UTEP’s last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of San Jose State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Raymond Moore III leads the Mountain West Conference for yards per carry (7.5) this season.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jabari Bates ranks 4th amongst FBS players for rushing attempts (120) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UTEP has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- UTEP has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 30+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- San Jose State ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.5).
- San Jose State ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.7).
San Jose State vs UTEP Prediction
In this San Jose State vs UTEP prediction, San Jose State is coming as -7.5 road favorites. UTEP has been terrible this season with just one win in six games played and also 1-5 against the spread, ranking on the bottom-6 of the entire country both offensively and defensively for a -23.7 point differential. On the flip side, San Jose State almost cracks the top-70 of the nation in points allowed and have covered the spread in all of their three road games this season, while winning the last two outright. Take San Jose State and lay the -7.5 points.