San José State vs Hawai’i Prediction 10/3/2026 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 29, 2026; Stanford, California, USA; Hawaii Rainbow Warriors quarterback Micah Alejado (12) scrambles against the Stanford Cardinal during the second quarter at Stanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
San José State Spartans
Hawai'i Warriors
Team Records
2-2
1-3
Spread
+3 -115
-3 -105
Moneyline
+124
-148
Total
Over 50.5 (-112)
Under 50.5 (-108)
Where
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
When
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Time
11:59 PM EDT
TV
MW+
The San Jose State Spartans and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors meet in week 5 college football action from the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Jose State Spartans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction.
San Jose State Spartans Recap
The San Jose State Spartans come into this game looking to rebound from their 26-10 loss at the hands of Fresno State last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, San Jose State will head home for a game against Wyoming.
Spartans Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Luke Weaver has thrown for 1,032 yards, 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.8% passing while Jabari Bates leads San José State in rushing with 413 yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Luke Weaver sits behind Bates on the ground with 87 yards and 1 TD. Carson Clark leads the Spartans in receiving with 240 yards and 24 catches along with 3 TDs, while Cooper Hoch trails with 239 yards and 16 catches. On defense, Dylan Lee has a team-high 35 tackles while San José State’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Recap
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors come into this game looking to bounce back from a 27-10 loss at the hands of Wyoming last time out to sit at 1-3 this season. After this game, Hawaii will head on the road for a game against Arizona State.
Warriors Looking To Rebound
Micah Alejado has thrown for 1,020 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception on 60.2% passing while DeVon Rice leads Hawai’i in rushing with 242 yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Sitani Mikaele sits behind Rice on the ground with 67 yards and 1 TD. Tama Uliata leads the Rainbow Warriors in receiving with 208 yards and 24 catches along with 1 TD, while Kainoa Carvalho trails with 207 yards and 18 catches. On defense, Kona Moore has a team-high 33 tackles while Hawai’i’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
San Jose State Spartans @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
Hawaii has won each of its last 19 games as a home favorite.
San Jose State has lost each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
The home team has covered the spread in eight of Hawaii’s last nine games.
Hawaii has won the first half in eight of its last nine games as a home favorite.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
San Jose State has won each of its last five games against Hawaii.
Hawaii has lost 16 of its last 21 games against teams from California.
The road team has covered the spread in each of San Jose State’s last five games.
Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven October games as a home favorite.
San Jose State has won the first half in each of its last seven games against Hawaii.
San Jose State has won the first quarter in four of its last five games in October.
Total Points Facts
Each of Hawaii’s last five games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Four of San Jose State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Micah Alejado ranks 2nd in the Mountain West Conference for passing yards (1020) this season.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 5, Jabari Bates has the most rushing attempts without a rushing touchdown this season (77).
Matchup/League Facts
Hawaii ranks 137th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (83.3).
Hawaii ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.5).
San Jose State ranks T135th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.8).
San Jose State ranks T134th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.5).
San Jose State Spartans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Prediction
I’m on the Spartans and the points in this one. I get the case to be made for either side here as the trip to the island is never easy. However, the Warriors have been far from impressive in my opinion this season and I think this is just a tricky spot for the Warriors here. San Jose State’s been feisty in spots and I think the Spartans are live to win this game on the road. Give me San Jose State and the points here.
