| MATCHUP | San José State Spartans | Air Force Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-5 | 7-2 |
| Spread | +12.5 -112 | -12.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +360 | -470 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-118) | Under 47.5 (-102) |
| Where | Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
San Jose State vs Air Force Prediction
San Jose State has had a lot of shaky results this season and has had issues stepping up in competition. A lot of that has to do with a Spartans offense that’s 108th in total offense, 118th in rush offense, and 115th in scoring offense. San Jose State has one of the worst offenses in college football and has been held to 16 or fewer points in four of its last seven games. Air Force is simply the better team across the board and has the best rushing attack in the country. A San Jose State rush defense that’s 80th in college football will be thrilled to see this unit.
Air Force has covered 5 of its last 7 games as a favorite and has covered 7 of its last 10 games overall. San Jose State has had success on the road this season, which includes three wins. It’s still not enough. Give me Air Force in a beatdown at home over a San Jose State team that can’t move the football.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The San Jose State Spartans lost to New Mexico, beat Northern Illinois, and play UNLV next. San Jose State has split its last 10 games. Luke Weaver is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 1,810 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Weaver has been sacked 17 times this season. Cooper Hoch has 338 yards and 3 touchdowns on 23 catches. Carson Clark has 689 yards and 5 touchdowns on 61 catches. Jerry McClure has 356 yards and 1 touchdown on 36 catches.
The San Jose State Spartans’ ground game is averaging 116.9 yards per contest, and Jabari Bates leads the way with 682 yards and 1 touchdown. On defense, San Jose State allows 22 points and 378.1 yards per game. Dylan Lee leads San Jose State with 88 tackles. Jayland McGlothen has 7 sacks. Caleb Womack has 2 interceptions.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons beat UConn and Army, and they will play UTEP next. The Air Force Falcons have won 6 of their last 7 games. Liam Szarka is completing 50 percent of his passes for 296 yards, 1 touchdown, and 4 interceptions. Szarka has been sacked twice this season. Simon Kibbee has 166 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 catches. Matt Long has 123 yards and 2 touchdowns on 9 catches. Adam Hrynciw has 89 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 catches.
The Air Force Falcons’ ground game is averaging 332 yards per contest, and Evan Medders leads the way with 549 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 21.4 points and 295.9 yards per game. Blake Fletcher leads the Air Force Falcons with 84 tackles. Max Mustell has 3 sacks. Korey Johnson has 2 interceptions.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Air Force has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Jose State has lost 12 of its last 15 road games in November.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Air Force’s last seven games at Falcon Stadium.
- San Jose State has lost the first half in four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- The underdog has won three of the last four games between San Jose State and Air Force.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
- The road team has covered the spread in nine of San Jose State’s last 11 games.
- San Jose State has won the first half in three of its last four road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Jose State’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Air Force’s last three November games at Falcon Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Simon Kibbee leads Air Force in receiving yards (166) this season.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Carson Clark leads the Mountain West Conference for targets (91) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (36:28).
- Air Force has had a higher time of possession than its opponents in each of its last 10 games- the longest active streak in the FBS.
- San Jose State ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.3).
- San Jose State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (8.2).