Sam Houston State vs Texas Tech Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Sam Houston Bearkats and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet in week 4 college football action from Galaxy Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction.

Sam Houston Bearkats Recap

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game looking to add on to their 59-0 win over Nicholls last time out to sit at 1-2 this season. After this game, the Bearkats will head on the road for a game against Liberty.

Bearkats Looking For Massive Upset After First Win

Landyn Locke has thrown for 973 yards, 9 touchdowns and 1 interception on 67.6% passing while Alton McCaskill leads Sam Houston in rushing with 140 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Landen Brown sits behind McCaskill on the ground with 81 yards and 1 TD. Chris Reed leads the Bearkats in receiving with 204 yards on 9 catches along with 1 touchdown, while Karson Maxwell trails with 154 yards on 3 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Dean Ford and Brian Bates Jr. share a team-high 16 total tackles each. Elijah Groves leads the unit with 1.5 sacks, while Railyn Adams recorded the team’s lone interception. Sam Houston’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game looking to add on to their 28-26 win over Houston last time out to sit at 3-0 this season. After this game, Texas Tech will head on the road for a game against the Colorado Buffaloes.

Red Raiders Looking To Stay Unbeaten

Will Hammond has thrown for 744 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 70.1% passing while J’Koby Williams leads Texas Tech in rushing with 249 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Cameron Dickey sits behind Williams on the ground with 198 yards and 1 TD. Kenny Johnson leads the Red Raiders in receiving with 230 yards on 13 catches along with 1 touchdown, while Coy Eakin trails with 132 yards on 11 catches. On defense, Ben Roberts has a team-high 25 total tackles, while Jamond Mathis and A.J. Holmes Jr. each lead the unit with 2.5 sacks. John Curry and LaDamion Guyton have each recorded 1 interception. Texas Tech’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Texas Tech has won each of its last 15 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has lost eight of its last nine road games.
• Texas Tech has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 road games.
• Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Texas Tech has won the first quarter in each of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• Sam Houston State has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Sam Houston State’s last four games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Texas Tech’s last seven home games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, J’Koby Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

• Landyn Locke has recorded 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 4.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas Tech ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Texas Tech ranks 126th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (273.0).
• Two of Sam Houston State’s three games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Sam Houston State ranks 4th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (110.0).

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction

I’m on the Bearkats and the points in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, as Texas Tech is obviously the name brand in this game. However, I’ve been far from impressed when it comes to Texas Tech this season, as they’ve found themselves in a lot of closer games than I’d like to see this team play and this feels like a sandwich spot for Texas Tech. I’ll back Sam Houston with the boatload of points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Sam Houston +34.5