Sacramento State vs Bowling Green Prediction 10/10/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Sacramento State Hornets and the Bowling Green Falcons meet in week 6 college football action from the Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction.

Sacramento State Hornets Recap

The Sacramento State Hornets come into this game looking to rebound from a 35-6 loss at the hands of UMass last time out to sit at 1-4 this season. After this game, Sacframento State will head home for a game against Ohio.

Hornets Lose 3 Straight

Jackson Sharman has thrown for 856 yards, 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 57.7% passing while Isaiah Ene leads Sacramento State in rushing with 141 yards and a touchdown through 5 games this season. Daniel Swinney sits behind Ene on the ground with 139 yards and a touchdown. Matt Coleman leads the Hornets in receiving with 369 yards and 26 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Onterrio Smith Jr. trails with 240 yards and 22 catches. On defense, Boogsie Silvera has a team-high 33 tackles while Sacramento State’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and zero interceptions through 5 games this season.

Bowling Green Falcons Recap

The Bowling Green Falcons come into this game looking to build on their 24-20 win over Miami Ohio last time out to sit at 1-4 this season. After this game, Bowling Green will take on Ball State at home.

Falcons Grab First W Of Season

Jay Kastantin has thrown for 870 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.8% passing while Austyn Dendy leads Bowling Green in rushing with 185 yards and a touchdown through 5 games this season. Nakai Amachree sits behind Dendy on the ground with 113 yards. Winn Sharp leads the Falcons in receiving with 217 yards and 15 catches along with a touchdown, while Jeremiah Scoby trails with 182 yards and 18 catches. On defense, Dorian Pringle has a team-high 49 tackles while Bowling Green’s defense as a whole has combined for 15 sacks and 2 interceptions through 5 games this season.

Sacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Sacramento State has lost each of its last three games.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of Sacramento State’s last five games.
• Sacramento State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog.
• The home team has won the first quarter in three of Bowling Green’s last four games.
• Bowling Green has won the first half in eight of its last nine October games as a favorite.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• Bowling Green has lost each of its last five games as a favorite in Ohio.
• The underdog has won six of Bowling Green’s last seven games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Bowling Green’s last nine games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
• Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite in Ohio.
• Bowling Green has lost the first half in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Bowling Green’s last six games as a favorite in Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Myles Bradley ranks 4th amongst FBS players for sacks (6.5) this season.

Sacramento State Hornets Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Carson Conklin has the most pass attempts without a passing touchdown this season (46).

Matchup/League Facts

• Bowling Green ranks 138th among FBS teams for points per game this season (11.4).
• Bowling Green has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
• Sacramento State ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (14.8).
• Sacramento State ranks 135th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.6).

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction

I’m looking at Bowling Green in this one. I never thought I’d catch myself saying that but I think Bowling Green’s just the much better team here and Sacramento State is nowhere close to the level of the Falcons in this matchup if we’re being objective. I think that Sac State loses this one by double digits as the travel is really starting to take a toll on the Hornets, who weren’t very good to begin with. Give me Bowling Green at home here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Bowling Green -8.5