Oregon State vs UTEP Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate an Oregon State vs UTEP prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup. 

Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview

The Oregon State Beavers are 1-2 this season after they defeated Montana by a score of 52-17 last week. Oregon State led 35-3 at halftime and they added 17 points in the second half to cruise to the easy win. The Beavers out gained Montana by a total of 510-338, went 6-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Braden Atkinson threw for 333 yards and five touchdowns, while Jesse Legree caught four passes for 100 yards and one score. Tre Garrison rushed 14 times for 56 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Oregon State lost to Texas Tech by a score of 35-24 and Houston by a score of 33-20. The Beavers have scored 32.0 points per game with 386.3 passing yards and 75.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.3 points against per game this season. Braden Atkinson has thrown for 1,122 yards, eight touchdowns, and one interception this season. 

UTEP Miners Betting Preview

The UTEP Miners are 1-2 this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 52-17 in their last game. UTEP led 14-7 in the second quarter, but they trailed 17-14 at halftime and allowed 28 points in the third quarter for the blowout loss. The Miners were out gained by a total of 431-150, went 2-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. EJ Colson Jr threw for 86 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Carver Cheeks caught one pass for 45 yards and one score. Tavorus Jones rushed nine times for 34 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, UTEP defeated Texas Southern by a score of 51-10, but lost to Oklahoma by a score of 51-0 before that. The Miners have scored 22.7 points per game with 139.3 passing yards and 140.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 37.7 points against per game this season. EJ Colson Jr has thrown for 377 yards with six touchdowns and one interception this year. 

Why the UTEP Miners will win

• Oregon State has lost each of its last nine road games against non-conference opponents.
• The home team has won five of UTEP’s last six games.
• Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has covered the spread in five of UTEP’s last six games.
• The home team has won the first half in five of Oregon State’s last six games.

Why the Oregon State Beavers will win

• UTEP has lost each of its last nine September games as an underdog.
• Oregon State has won 12 of its last 13 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of UTEP’s last four games.
• Oregon State has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of UTEP’s last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Oregon State’s last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, EJ Colson ranks 1st in the Mountain West Conference amongst qualified players for passer rating (182.1) this season.

Oregon State Beavers Player Prop Facts

• Jesse Legree has recorded 100+ receiving yards in three consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 4.

Matchup/League Facts

• UTEP ranks T133rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (19.7).
• UTEP ranks T133rd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-8.0).
• Oregon State ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (75.0).
• Oregon State ranks T118th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (33.3).

Oregon State vs UTEP Prediction 

UTEP comes into this matchup after a strong first half against Michigan, but they were blown out in the second half and failed to cover. The Miners have allowed 103 points to Michigan and Oklahoma, and their passing game has really struggled. Oregon State covered easily against Montana last week and they played well against Texas Tech and Houston. I really like how the Beavers are playing right now and Atkinson has been great at the QB spot. Take Oregon State to cover in this game.

David Racey's Pick: Oregon State -10.5