| MATCHUP | North Texas Mean Green | Navy Midshipmen |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Spread | -2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
| Total | Over 62.5 (-115) | Under 62.5 (-105) |
| Where | Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD | |
| When | Saturday, October 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
In this article we will formulate a North Texas vs Navy prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 24th at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green are 4-2 (2-0) this year after they defeated Charlotte by a score of 50-10 in their last game. North Texas led 40-10 at halftime and they cruised to the blowout win in the second half. The Mean Green out gained Charlotte by a total of 580-274, went 5-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Tayven Jackson threw for 349 yards and five touchdowns, while Justin Stevenson caught nine passes for 122 yards and two scores. Jahiem White rushed 12 times for 105 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, North Texas defeated Tulsa by a score of 45-44 and Houston Christian by a score of 63-14. The Mean Green have scored 42.2 points per game with 347.0 passing yards and 186.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.2 points against per game this season. Tayven Jackson has thrown for 1,868 yards with 15 touchdowns and four interceptions this year.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen are 2-4 (1-3) this season after they lost to UTSA by a score of 38-34 last week. Navy trailed 21-20 at halftime, but they led 34-31 in the fourth, before allowing a touchdown with 2:24 left for the loss. The Midshipmen out gained UTSA by a total of 477-469, went 4-9 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Jackson Gutierrez threw for 120 yards and two touchdowns, while Jordan Collins caught two passes for 117 yards and two scores. Gutierrez also led the ground game with 21 carries for 139 yards and two touchdowns in the loss.
Prior to that game, Navy defeated Tulsa by a score of 34-26, but lost to Air Force by a score of 14-9 before that. The Midshipmen have scored 28.2 points per game with 115.5 passing yards and 298.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.8 points against per game this season. Jackson Gutierrez has thrown for 559 yards with six touchdowns and one interception, while also rushing for 644 yards and nine scores this season.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 14 games.
- Troy has won each of its last 10 October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 24 of its last 27 road games against conference opponents.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- The road team has won three of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Louisiana-Monroe and Troy.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in Alabama.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Troy’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 10 October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, TK Keyes leads the Sun Belt Conference for yards per reception (21.7) this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Marcellus Jackson leads Louisiana-Monroe for receptions (32) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks 130th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-4.8).
- Troy ranks 9th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (68.2).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (483.2).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (229.7).
North Texas vs Navy Prediction
North Texas comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 44+ points in four of their last five. Navy has lost four of their last five games, but they have scored 34 points in back to back games. We have seen some very high scoring games from North Texas this year, but this is a huge total for a triple option team. I think the Navy defense will play slightly better here, but I expect the offense to stay on the field longer than last week. Take the under.